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Braga B vs Sanjoanense Prediction & H2H Stats

Portugal Portugal

Liga 3 2025/2026 Estádio 1.º de Maio, Braga
Our Tip

Match Events

2' Event
Cezar F.
30'
Sa G.
43'
Sa G.

AI Match Summary

The Liga 3 2025/2026 game between Braga B and Sanjoanense finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Sanjoanense.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%
Braga B
30%
Draws
33%
Sanjoanense
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Braga B

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

37% / Low Confidence
  • Sanjoanense haven't matched Braga B's recent run of results.
  • 37% — that's where the model lands on Braga B taking it.
  • Regular Liga 3 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.2%
Braga B Clean Sheet 68%
Sanjoanense Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Braga B Sanjoanense
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 11 5
Draws 10 8
Losses 9 16
Goals Scored 1.2 1.21
Goals Conceded 1.03 1.76
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 19, 2026 Liga 3
Braga B vs Sanjoanense
1:2
Mar 15, 2026 Liga 3
Sanjoanense vs Braga B
2:2
Dec 20, 2025 Liga 3
Sanjoanense vs Braga B
0:2
Sep 24, 2025 Liga 3
Braga B vs Sanjoanense
2:2
Mar 30, 2025 Liga 3
Braga B vs Sanjoanense
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Braga B Compare

Top Goalscorer Merheg S. J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Sanjoanense Compare

Top Goalscorer Cezar F.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Talles Wander
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Braga B 50 / 100
Sanjoanense 27 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Braga B Sanjoanense

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Braga B Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sanjoanense has conceded goals in 90% of their last 29 outings.

Braga B has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Attacking prowess: Braga B scored in 70% of their last 30 outings.

H2H data points to 2.80 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

Braga B VS Sanjoanense
1.38 Goals Scored 1.25
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.13
63% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Braga B

(Home)
13 Sept
Maria de Fonte
0 : 4
Braga B
05 Sept
Braga B
2 : 2
CDC Montalegre
23 Aug
GD Braganca
0 : 0
Braga B
16 Aug
Braga B
2 : 1
Maia Lidador
01 Aug
Penafiel
0 : 2
Braga B
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Sanjoanense

(Away)
20 Sept
Anca
1 : 4
Sanjoanense
13 Sept
Florgrade
2 : 0
Sanjoanense
06 Sept
Sanjoanense
3 : 1
FC Alpendorada
30 Aug
Sanjoanense
3 : 0
Pacos de Brandao
23 Aug
SC Salgueiros
1 : 1
Sanjoanense
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