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Braga vs Celta Vigo

World World

Club Friendly Estádio Municipal de Braga, Braga
Our Tip

Match Events

32' Event
Gonzalez H.
45' Event
Carvalho V.
46'
Sub
Lago Y. In: Dominguez C.
Out: Lago Y.

AI Match Summary

The Club Friendly game between Braga and Celta Vigo finished 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

38%
Braga
35%
Draws
27%
Celta Vigo
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Braga

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

38% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Braga come out ahead of Celta Vigo on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Braga's way, sitting at 40%.
  • Regular Club Friendly form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.6%
Braga Clean Sheet 20%
Celta Vigo Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Braga Celta Vigo
Matches Played 27 29
Wins 15 11
Draws 7 9
Losses 5 9
Goals Scored 1.85 1.45
Goals Conceded 1.11 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 1.81 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 18, 2026 Club Friendly
Braga vs Celta Vigo
2:2
Jul 19, 2025 Club Friendly
Braga vs Celta Vigo
3:1
Jul 29, 2022 Club Friendly
Braga vs Celta Vigo
2:1
Jul 27, 2018 Club Friendly
Braga vs Celta Vigo
0:0
Nov 9, 2016 Club Friendly
Celta Vigo vs Braga
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Braga Compare

Top Goalscorer Carvalho V.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Noro J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.39
Avg xA / game 0.91

Celta Vigo Compare

Top Goalscorer Gonzalez H.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Dominguez C.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Braga 40 / 100
Celta Vigo 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Braga Celta Vigo

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick BRA Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Braga's goal record stands at 96% scoring rate across 27 recent games.

Braga went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Celta Vigo's defensive record shows goals conceded in 76% of 29 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.80 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Braga VS Celta Vigo
2.38 Goals Scored 1.75
0.63 Goals Conceded 1.25
63% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 50%
63% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Braga

(Home)
06 Aug
Braga
1 : 0
Din. Minsk
30 Jul
Braga
4 : 0
Zeleznicar Pancevo
22 Jul
Zeleznicar Pancevo
0 : 1
Braga
18 Jul
Braga
2 : 2
Celta Vigo
14 Jul
Vizela
0 : 5
Braga
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Celta Vigo

(Away)
08 Aug
Napoli
1 : 1
Celta Vigo
05 Aug
Sassuolo
1 : 4
Celta Vigo
29 Jul
Celta Vigo
2 : 2
Academico Viseu
25 Jul
Celta Vigo
1 : 0
Gijon
18 Jul
Braga
2 : 2
Celta Vigo
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