Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Braga W vs Vitoria Guimaraes W

Portugal Portugal

Liga BPI Women 2025/2026 Estádio 1.º de Maio, Braga
Our Tip

Match Events

1' Event
Schmidt M.
Assist: Miller M.
12' Event
Flores M.
46'
Sub
Silva E. In: Salgado M.
Out: Silva E.

AI Match Summary

The Liga BPI Women 2025/2026 game between Braga W and Vitoria Guimaraes W finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Braga W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Braga W
30%
Draws
19%
Vitoria Guimaraes W
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Braga W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Braga W carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 51% — that's where the model lands on Braga W taking it.
  • Regular Liga BPI Women 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Braga W have won 2 of the last 3 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Braga W Clean Sheet 20%
Vitoria Guimaraes W Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Braga W Vitoria Guimaraes W
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 12 7
Draws 10 10
Losses 8 12
Goals Scored 1.6 1.03
Goals Conceded 1.17 1.45
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 10, 2026 Liga BPI Women
Braga W vs Vitoria Guimaraes W
2:0
Jan 31, 2026 Taça da Liga Women
Vitoria Guimaraes W vs Braga W
1:4
Jan 10, 2026 Liga BPI Women
Vitoria Guimaraes W vs Braga W
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Braga W Compare

Top Goalscorer Schmidt M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Flores M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Vitoria Guimaraes W Compare

Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.52

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Braga W 85 / 100
Vitoria Guimaraes W 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Braga W Vitoria Guimaraes W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Braga W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Braga W's goal record stands at 80% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Historical meetings average 3.33 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Braga W stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Defensive concern: Vitoria Guimaraes W conceded in 79% of 29 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Braga W VS Vitoria Guimaraes W
1.25 Goals Scored 0.38
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.25
88% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 13%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Braga W

(Home)
27 Sept
Braga W
0 : 0
Sporting W
21 Sept
FC Porto W
1 : 1
Braga W
12 Sept
Braga W
5 : 0
Maritimo W
29 Aug
Valadares Gaia W
0 : 2
Braga W
10 May
Braga W
2 : 0
Vitoria Guimaraes W
Page 1 of 6

Vitoria Guimaraes W

(Away)
19 Sept
Vitoria Guimaraes W
0 : 3
Torreense W
12 Sept
Sporting W
2 : 0
Vitoria Guimaraes W
10 May
Braga W
2 : 0
Vitoria Guimaraes W
02 May
Vitoria Guimaraes W
0 : 0
Torreense W
25 Apr
Maritimo W
0 : 1
Vitoria Guimaraes W
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 SL Benfica W 18 15 3 0 58:11 48
2 Sporting W 18 10 5 3 35:16 35
3 Torreense W 18 10 2 6 29:22 32
4 Valadares Gaia W 18 7 5 6 21:22 26
5 Braga W 18 6 6 6 26:21 24
6 Vitoria Guimaraes W 18 4 9 5 16:23 21
7 Racing Power W 18 4 6 8 16:23 18
8 Rio Ave W 18 4 5 9 10:18 17
9 Maritimo W 18 4 2 12 19:40 14
10 Damaiense W 18 2 5 11 17:51 11
Promotion - UEFA Champions League Women (League phase)
Promotion - UEFA Champions League Women (Qualification - First stage)
Relegation - Liga BPI Women 2025/2026 (Relegation - Play Offs)