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Bragantino U20 vs Comercial U20 - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

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Paulista U20 2023
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Paulista U20 2023 game between Bragantino U20 and Comercial U20 finished 3-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Bragantino U20.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

64%
Bragantino U20
15%
Draws
21%
Comercial U20
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Bragantino U20

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Bragantino U20 come out ahead of Comercial U20 on wins alone.
  • Bragantino U20 are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Paulista U20 2023 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Bragantino U20 Clean Sheet 20%
Comercial U20 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Bragantino U20 Comercial U20
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 25 9
Draws 2 7
Losses 3 14
Goals Scored 3.5 1.53
Goals Conceded 0.97 1.6
Expected Goals (xG) 2.42 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 9, 2023 Paulista U20
Comercial U20 vs Bragantino U20
0:1
Jul 30, 2023 Paulista U20
Bragantino U20 vs Comercial U20
3:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bragantino U20 85 / 100
Comercial U20 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Bragantino U20 Comercial U20

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Bragantino U20 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Bragantino U20 scored in 93% of their last 30 outings.

Comercial U20's defensive record shows goals conceded in 77% of 30 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.50 goals when they meet.

Bragantino U20 went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Bragantino U20 VS -
3.63 Goals Scored 0
0.88 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
88% Over 2.5 0%
75% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Bragantino U20

(Home)
27 Sept
Bragantino U20
5 : 1
CA Bandeirante U20
21 Sept
CA Bandeirante U20
0 : 6
Bragantino U20
12 Sept
Bragantino U20
8 : 0
Agua Santa U20
04 Sept
Osasco Audax U20
1 : 0
Bragantino U20
21 Aug
Bragantino U20
4 : 0
Maua FC U20
Page 1 of 6

Comercial U20

(Away)
09 Jan
Comercial U20
0 : 3
America MG U20
06 Jan
Comercial U20
2 : 0
Noroeste U20
03 Jan
Comercial U20
1 : 2
Atletico-PI U20
09 Jan
Comercial U20
0 : 0
Vitoria U20
06 Jan
Comercial U20
0 : 2
EC Sao Jose (PA) U20
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Mirassol U20 6 4 1 1 12:5 13
2 EC Sao Bernardo U20 6 4 0 2 11:5 12
3 Vocem U20 6 3 1 2 9:6 10
4 Mogi Mirim U20 6 0 0 6 1:17 0
Promotion - Paulista U20 2023 (Third stage)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Agua Santa U20 6 4 0 2 10:9 12
2 Osasco Sporting U20 6 2 2 2 10:7 8
3 Jose Bonifacio EC U20 6 2 2 2 7:8 8
4 Rio Preto EC U20 6 1 2 3 8:11 5
Promotion - Paulista U20 2023 (Third stage)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Botafogo SP U20 6 4 2 0 7:2 14
2 Portuguesa U20 6 2 3 1 6:4 9
3 Rio Claro U20 6 2 2 2 4:5 8
4 Taubate U20 6 0 1 5 2:8 1
Promotion - Paulista U20 2023 (Third stage)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ferroviaria U20 6 5 1 0 9:2 16
2 Ibrachina U20 6 2 1 3 7:6 7
3 Tanabi U20 6 1 3 2 6:8 6
4 Juventus-SP U20 6 0 3 3 3:9 3
Promotion - Paulista U20 2023 (Third stage)

League Standings (Group 5)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sao Paulo U20 6 5 1 0 19:5 16
2 Bragantino U20 6 4 0 2 13:9 12
3 Comercial U20 6 1 1 4 6:9 4
4 Lemense U20 6 1 0 5 3:18 3
Promotion - Paulista U20 2023 (Third stage)

League Standings (Group 6)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Palmeiras U20 6 4 1 1 16:7 13
2 Novorizontino U20 6 4 0 2 14:6 12
3 Guarani U20 6 2 2 2 6:10 8
4 Ituano U20 6 0 1 5 5:18 1
Promotion - Paulista U20 2023 (Third stage)

League Standings (Group 7)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Internacional de Limeira U20 6 4 1 1 7:3 13
2 Corinthians U20 6 4 0 2 8:3 12
3 Ponte Preta U20 6 2 1 3 5:6 7
4 Sao Caetano U20 6 1 0 5 2:10 3
Promotion - Paulista U20 2023 (Third stage)

League Standings (Group 8)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Santos U20 6 6 0 0 35:3 18
2 Desportivo U20 6 3 1 2 31:13 10
3 Capivariano U20 6 2 1 3 22:13 7
4 Aracatuba FC U20 6 0 0 6 2:61 0
Promotion - Paulista U20 2023 (Third stage)