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Bragantino vs Chapecoense-SC - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Brazil Brazil

Serie A Estádio Municipal Cicero De Souza Marques, Bragança Paulista
Our Tip

Match Events

43' Event
Wallace Yan
46'
Sub
Fernando In: Tulio
Out: Fernando
51' Event
Wallace Yan
Assist: Lucas Barbosa

AI Match Summary

The Serie A game between Bragantino and Chapecoense-SC finished 3-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Bragantino.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Bragantino
30%
Draws
31%
Chapecoense-SC
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Bragantino

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

39% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Bragantino come out ahead of Chapecoense-SC on wins alone.
  • Model gives Bragantino a 39% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Bragantino Clean Sheet 20%
Chapecoense-SC Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Bragantino Chapecoense-SC
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 11 7
Draws 9 7
Losses 10 15
Goals Scored 1.43 1.1
Goals Conceded 1.1 1.76
Expected Goals (xG) 1.20 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 28, 2026 Serie A
Bragantino vs Chapecoense-SC
3:0
May 3, 2026 Serie A
Chapecoense-SC vs Bragantino
1:2
Sep 11, 2021 Serie A
Bragantino vs Chapecoense-SC
1:2
May 30, 2021 Serie A
Chapecoense-SC vs Bragantino
0:3
Nov 16, 2013 Serie B
Chapecoense-SC vs Bragantino
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Bragantino Compare

Top Goalscorer Wallace Yan
2 Goals
Assists Leader Mosquera H.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.6

Chapecoense-SC Compare

Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bragantino 85 / 100
Chapecoense-SC 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Bragantino Chapecoense-SC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Bragantino Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Chapecoense-SC conceded in 90% of 29 recent games.

Bragantino's goal record stands at 73% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

These sides typically produce 2.80 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Bragantino stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Bragantino VS Chapecoense-SC
1.25 Goals Scored 0.88
1.63 Goals Conceded 2.13
88% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Bragantino

(Home)
24 Oct
Palmeiras
2 : 0
Bragantino
18 Oct
Remo
1 : 1
Bragantino
13 Oct
Bragantino
4 : 2
Cruzeiro
07 Oct
Bragantino
1 : 1
Mirassol
03 Oct
Atletico-MG
1 : 0
Bragantino
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Chapecoense-SC

(Away)
24 Oct
Chapecoense-SC
2 : 1
Fluminense
17 Oct
Botafogo RJ
1 : 0
Chapecoense-SC
12 Oct
Chapecoense-SC
1 : 4
Athletico-PR
07 Oct
Vitoria
4 : 0
Chapecoense-SC
26 Sept
Atl. Nacional
1 : 1
Chapecoense-SC
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Flamengo RJ 32 21 7 4 64:27 70
2 Palmeiras 33 20 10 3 56:22 70
3 Cruzeiro 32 16 6 10 51:46 54
4 Athletico-PR 32 15 9 8 50:38 54
5 Fluminense 33 15 9 9 52:42 54
6 Bahia 33 14 11 8 48:42 53
7 Atletico-MG 32 14 8 10 44:38 50
8 Santos 33 12 11 10 49:47 47
9 Bragantino 33 12 8 13 42:38 44
10 Sao Paulo 33 12 7 14 39:39 43
11 Botafogo RJ 33 10 9 14 45:53 39
12 Coritiba 32 10 9 13 38:50 39
13 Vasco 31 10 8 13 39:45 38
14 Vitoria 32 10 8 14 35:46 38
15 Mirassol 32 9 10 13 37:45 37
16 Internacional 33 8 11 14 37:42 35
17 Gremio 32 8 10 14 35:44 34
18 Corinthians 32 8 9 15 34:42 33
19 Remo 33 6 11 16 36:51 29
20 Chapecoense-SC 32 4 9 19 32:66 21
Promotion - Copa Libertadores 2027 (Group Stage)
Promotion - Copa Libertadores 2027 (Qualification)
Promotion - Copa Sudamericana 2027 (Group Stage)
Relegation - Serie B 2027 (Main)