Sport Picks
Bragantino vs Gremio
Brazil
Serie A Betano Estádio Municipal Cicero De Souza Marques, Bragança Paulista 
Match Events
14'
14'
Herrera J.
24'
24'
Juninho Capixaba
45'
45'
Noriega E.
AI Match Summary
The Serie A Betano game between Bragantino and Gremio finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Bragantino.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
40%
20%
40%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
40%
/ Low Confidence
- Bragantino's 1.4 goals per match outpaces what Gremio have produced (1.3).
- Model puts this one close, with a 44% draw probability.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Bragantino Clean Sheet 17%
Gremio Clean Sheet 15%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Bragantino | Gremio |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 30 |
| Wins | 11 | 11 |
| Draws | 8 | 8 |
| Losses | 11 | 11 |
| Goals Scored | 1.4 | 1.3 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.1 | 1.13 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.00 | 1.38 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 23, 2026 Serie A Betano
Bragantino vs Gremio
1:0
Mar 13, 2026 Serie A Betano
Gremio vs Bragantino
1:1
Oct 4, 2025 Serie A Betano
Bragantino vs Gremio
1:0
May 10, 2025 Serie A Betano
Gremio vs Bragantino
1:1
Sep 15, 2024 Serie A Betano
Bragantino vs Gremio
2:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Bragantino Compare
Top Goalscorer Gustavo Marques
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5
Gremio Compare
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Bragantino 36 / 100
Gremio 21 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Bragantino Gremio
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Gremio Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:6
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Bragantino's goal record stands at 73% scoring rate across 30 recent games.
Defensive concern: Gremio conceded in 70% of 30 recent games.
Games between these two average 2.00 goals.
Gremio's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.
Scoring Trends
Bragantino VS Gremio
1 Goals Scored 1.25
1.5 Goals Conceded 1
75% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Bragantino
(Home) 20 Sept
Flamengo RJ
2 : 1 Bragantino
12 Sept
Botafogo RJ
1 : 1 Bragantino
05 Sept
Bragantino
2 : 3 Bahia
29 Aug
Sao Paulo
2 : 1 Bragantino
23 Aug
Bragantino
1 : 0 Gremio
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05 Sept
Bragantino
2 : 3 Bahia
23 Aug
Bragantino
1 : 0 Gremio
12 Aug
Bragantino
0 : 1 Atletico-MG
09 Aug
Bragantino
0 : 2 Corinthians
30 Jul
Bragantino
1 : 0 Sporting Cristal
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Gremio
(Away) 20 Sept
Gremio
0 : 0 Palmeiras
16 Sept
Botafogo RJ
3 : 2 Gremio
12 Sept
Gremio
1 : 2 Vasco
07 Sept
Vitoria
1 : 0 Gremio
03 Sept
Gremio
3 : 1 Internacional
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16 Sept
Botafogo RJ
3 : 2 Gremio
07 Sept
Vitoria
1 : 0 Gremio
27 Aug
Internacional
0 : 0 Gremio
23 Aug
Bragantino
1 : 0 Gremio
16 Aug
Atletico-MG
3 : 0 Gremio
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Flamengo RJ | 28 | 18 | 6 | 4 | 55:23 | 60 |
| 2 | Palmeiras | 28 | 16 | 9 | 3 | 47:21 | 57 |
| 3 | Athletico-PR | 28 | 14 | 7 | 7 | 43:32 | 49 |
| 4 | Fluminense | 28 | 13 | 9 | 6 | 44:36 | 48 |
| 5 | Bahia | 28 | 12 | 10 | 6 | 43:35 | 46 |
| 6 | Cruzeiro | 28 | 13 | 6 | 9 | 42:40 | 45 |
| 7 | Atletico-MG | 27 | 11 | 7 | 9 | 36:32 | 40 |
| 8 | Santos | 27 | 10 | 8 | 9 | 41:40 | 38 |
| 9 | Coritiba | 28 | 10 | 8 | 10 | 37:43 | 38 |
| 10 | Bragantino | 27 | 10 | 6 | 11 | 33:31 | 36 |
| 11 | Sao Paulo | 27 | 10 | 6 | 11 | 32:30 | 36 |
| 12 | Botafogo RJ | 28 | 9 | 8 | 11 | 41:45 | 35 |
| 13 | Vitoria | 28 | 9 | 6 | 13 | 28:42 | 33 |
| 14 | Corinthians | 28 | 8 | 8 | 12 | 29:32 | 32 |
| 15 | Mirassol | 28 | 8 | 8 | 12 | 33:42 | 32 |
| 16 | Vasco | 27 | 8 | 7 | 12 | 34:41 | 31 |
| 17 | Gremio | 28 | 7 | 8 | 13 | 30:38 | 29 |
| 18 | Internacional | 28 | 6 | 10 | 12 | 30:36 | 28 |
| 19 | Remo | 28 | 5 | 8 | 15 | 32:47 | 23 |
| 20 | Chapecoense-SC | 27 | 3 | 9 | 15 | 29:53 | 18 |
Promotion - Copa Libertadores 2027 (Group Stage)
Promotion - Copa Libertadores 2027 (Qualification)
Promotion - Copa Sudamericana 2027 (Group Stage)
Relegation - Serie B 2027 (Main)
