Sport Picks
Match Events
14'
14'
Reynolds L.
35'
35'
Tanga J.
51'
51'
Tanga J.
AI Match Summary
The National League South game between Braintree and Tonbridge finished 0-4, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Tonbridge.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
40%
20%
40%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
40%
/ Low Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Tonbridge come out ahead of Braintree on wins alone.
- 40% — that's where the model lands on Tonbridge taking it.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
Braintree Clean Sheet 10%
Tonbridge Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Braintree | Tonbridge |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 31 |
| Wins | 7 | 17 |
| Draws | 6 | 5 |
| Losses | 16 | 9 |
| Goals Scored | 1.59 | 1.94 |
| Goals Conceded | 2.14 | 1.13 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.31 | 1.88 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 8, 2026 National League South
Braintree vs Tonbridge
0:4
Feb 20, 2024 National League South
Braintree vs Tonbridge
1:0
Sep 5, 2023 National League South
Tonbridge vs Braintree
0:0
Jan 28, 2023 National League South
Tonbridge vs Braintree
0:0
Aug 27, 2022 National League South
Braintree vs Tonbridge
2:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Braintree Compare
Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66
Tonbridge Compare
Top Goalscorer Tanga J.
2 Goals Assists Leader Reynolds L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Braintree 18 / 100
Tonbridge 56 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Braintree Tonbridge
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Tonbridge Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:5
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Braintree scored in 90% of their last 29 games.
Tonbridge's defensive record shows goals conceded in 74% of 31 matches.
Solid form: Braintree remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.
H2H data points to 1.40 goals as a typical output.
Scoring Trends
Braintree VS Tonbridge
1.63 Goals Scored 1.88
1.88 Goals Conceded 1
100% Over 1.5 75%
88% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Braintree
(Home) 19 Sept
Needham Market
3 : 3 Braintree
15 Sept
Billericay
3 : 2 Braintree
12 Sept
Braintree
2 : 1 Maidstone
08 Sept
Braintree
2 : 1 Fulham U21
05 Sept
Slough Town
1 : 2 Braintree
Page 1 of 6
12 Sept
Braintree
2 : 1 Maidstone
08 Sept
Braintree
2 : 1 Fulham U21
31 Aug
Braintree
0 : 2 Farnborough
22 Aug
Braintree
1 : 2 Horsham FC
18 Aug
Braintree
1 : 2 Ipswich U21
Page 1 of 3
Tonbridge
(Away) 19 Sept
Tonbridge
2 : 1 Ramsgate
12 Sept
Hemel Hempstead
1 : 1 Tonbridge
08 Sept
Tonbridge
0 : 1 Maidstone
05 Sept
Farnborough
0 : 4 Tonbridge
31 Aug
Tonbridge
5 : 1 Walton & Hersham
Page 1 of 7
12 Sept
Hemel Hempstead
1 : 1 Tonbridge
05 Sept
Farnborough
0 : 4 Tonbridge
29 Aug
Billericay
2 : 2 Tonbridge
18 Aug
Dover Ath.
0 : 1 Tonbridge
08 Aug
Braintree
0 : 4 Tonbridge
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Maidstone | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 17:9 | 19 |
| 2 | Weston-super-Mare | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 16:7 | 17 |
| 3 | Dagenham & Red. | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 9:7 | 16 |
| 4 | Salisbury | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 16:7 | 15 |
| 5 | Billericay | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 18:14 | 15 |
| 6 | Tonbridge | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 18:9 | 14 |
| 7 | Truro | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 11:4 | 14 |
| 8 | Dover Ath. | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 15:16 | 14 |
| 9 | Dorking Wanderers | 9 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 18:13 | 13 |
| 10 | Torquay | 9 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 13:11 | 13 |
| 11 | Farnham | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 11:10 | 13 |
| 12 | Folkestone | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 15:9 | 12 |
| 13 | Chesham | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 16:15 | 10 |
| 14 | Chelmsford | 8 | 1 | 7 | 0 | 9:8 | 10 |
| 15 | Horsham FC | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 9:10 | 10 |
| 16 | Hemel Hempstead | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 8:10 | 10 |
| 17 | Maidenhead | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 8:11 | 10 |
| 18 | Braintree | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 13:18 | 10 |
| 19 | AFC Totton | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 8:13 | 10 |
| 20 | Farnborough | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 6:11 | 10 |
| 21 | Hampton & Richmond | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 11:23 | 8 |
| 22 | Ebbsfleet | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3:1 | 5 |
| 23 | Slough Town | 8 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 9:21 | 3 |
| 24 | Walton & Hersham | 8 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 4:24 | 1 |
Promotion - National League 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - National League South (Play Offs)
Promotion - National League South (Play Offs)
