Sport Picks
Match Events
6'
6'
Ingason K. M.
Assist: Mathisen U.
46'
46'
Sub
Leach S. In: Ghebreyohannes F.
Out: Leach S.
53'
53'
Norbye J.
AI Match Summary
Brann in this Eliteserien matchup, with the score ending 3-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Brann.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
49%
15%
36%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Brann
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
49%
/ Medium Confidence
- Brann have won more games recently than Fredrikstad.
- Model gives Brann a 49% chance of winning this.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.2%
Brann Clean Sheet 20%
Fredrikstad Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Brann | Fredrikstad |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 29 |
| Wins | 14 | 13 |
| Draws | 2 | 6 |
| Losses | 12 | 10 |
| Goals Scored | 2.07 | 1.38 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.61 | 1.48 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.56 | 1.06 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
May 2, 2026 Eliteserien
Brann vs Fredrikstad
3:1
Sep 28, 2025 Eliteserien
Brann vs Fredrikstad
1:0
Mar 29, 2025 Eliteserien
Fredrikstad vs Brann
3:0
Aug 18, 2024 Eliteserien
Fredrikstad vs Brann
0:4
Apr 7, 2024 Eliteserien
Brann vs Fredrikstad
0:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Brann Compare
Top Goalscorer Ingason K. M.
1 Goals Assists Leader Soltvedt J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.2
Avg xA / game 0.78
Fredrikstad Compare
Top Goalscorer Fredriksen U.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Brann 85 / 100
Fredrikstad 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Brann Fredrikstad
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Brann Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Brann found the back of the net in 89% of recent matches (28 games).
Defensive concern: Fredrikstad conceded in 79% of 29 recent games.
H2H data points to 2.80 goals as a typical output.
Solid form: Brann remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Brann VS Fredrikstad
1.88 Goals Scored 0.5
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.25
88% Over 1.5 38%
88% Over 2.5 25%
50% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Brann
(Home) 16 Aug
Brann
3 : 0 Ham-Kam
11 Aug
Apollon Limassol
2 : 4 Brann
05 Aug
Brann
0 : 1 Apollon Limassol
02 Aug
Brann
3 : 2 Rosenborg
30 Jul
Brann
3 : 1 Universitatea Cluj
Page 1 of 6
16 Aug
Brann
3 : 0 Ham-Kam
05 Aug
Brann
0 : 1 Apollon Limassol
02 Aug
Brann
3 : 2 Rosenborg
30 Jul
Brann
3 : 1 Universitatea Cluj
26 Jul
Brann
2 : 3 Valerenga
Page 1 of 3
Fredrikstad
(Away) 16 Aug
Fredrikstad
1 : 0 Kristiansund
08 Aug
Start
0 : 1 Fredrikstad
01 Aug
Fredrikstad
1 : 0 Sandefjord
27 Jul
Rosenborg
4 : 0 Fredrikstad
17 Jul
Bodo/Glimt
1 : 0 Fredrikstad
Page 1 of 6
08 Aug
Start
0 : 1 Fredrikstad
27 Jul
Rosenborg
4 : 0 Fredrikstad
17 Jul
Bodo/Glimt
1 : 0 Fredrikstad
04 Jul
Valerenga
3 : 1 Fredrikstad
25 May
Sandefjord
1 : 1 Fredrikstad
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bodo/Glimt | 17 | 13 | 2 | 2 | 43:12 | 41 |
| 2 | Viking | 17 | 13 | 1 | 3 | 40:17 | 40 |
| 3 | Tromso | 17 | 10 | 4 | 3 | 34:20 | 34 |
| 4 | Molde | 17 | 8 | 3 | 6 | 32:26 | 27 |
| 5 | Lillestrom | 17 | 8 | 2 | 7 | 23:21 | 26 |
| 6 | Brann | 17 | 8 | 1 | 8 | 36:27 | 25 |
| 7 | Rosenborg | 17 | 7 | 3 | 7 | 25:22 | 24 |
| 8 | Fredrikstad | 17 | 7 | 2 | 8 | 18:27 | 23 |
| 9 | Sarpsborg 08 | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 20:23 | 22 |
| 10 | Ham-Kam | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 24:30 | 22 |
| 11 | Valerenga | 17 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 28:34 | 21 |
| 12 | KFUM Oslo | 17 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 19:27 | 19 |
| 13 | Sandefjord | 17 | 5 | 3 | 9 | 15:23 | 18 |
| 14 | Kristiansund | 17 | 4 | 3 | 10 | 15:27 | 15 |
| 15 | Aalesund | 17 | 2 | 9 | 6 | 27:41 | 15 |
| 16 | Start | 17 | 2 | 4 | 11 | 16:38 | 10 |
Promotion - Europa League (Qualification)
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Eliteserien (Relegation)
Relegation - OBOS-ligaen 2027 (Main)
