Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Brasil de Farroupilha vs Gramadense

Brazil Brazil

Copa FGF
Our Tip

Match Events

71' Event
Medeiros R.

AI Match Summary

This match ends 0-1, with Gramadense advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Brasil de Farroupilha
39%
Draws
30%
Gramadense
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • Gramadense carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • Gramadense arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Gramadense, who have won 2 of the last 3 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • Gramadense have won 2 of the last 3 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.400000000000002%
Brasil de Farroupilha Clean Sheet 22%
Gramadense Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Brasil de Farroupilha Gramadense
Matches Played 27 27
Wins 7 12
Draws 7 11
Losses 13 4
Goals Scored 0.63 1.25
Goals Conceded 0.88 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 0.63 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.88 1.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 7, 2026 Copa FGF
Brasil de Farroupilha vs Gramadense
0:1
May 30, 2026 Copa FGF
Gramadense vs Brasil de Farroupilha
2:2
Jun 4, 2025 Gaucho 2
Brasil de Farroupilha vs Gramadense
0:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Brasil de Farroupilha Compare

Avg xG / game 0.48
Avg xA / game 0.32

Gramadense Compare

Top Goalscorer Medeiros R.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Brasil de Farroupilha 32 / 100
Gramadense 41 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Brasil de Farroupilha Gramadense

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick GRA Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Brasil de Farroupilha found the back of the net in 67% of recent matches (27 games).

Historical meetings average 2.67 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Brasil de Farroupilha stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Gramadense's defensive record shows goals conceded in 48% of 27 matches.

Scoring Trends

Brasil de Farroupilha VS Gramadense
0.63 Goals Scored 1.25
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.5
50% Over 1.5 63%
25% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Brasil de Farroupilha

(Home)
17 Jun
Monsoon
2 : 1
Brasil de Farroupilha
14 Jun
Brasil de Farroupilha
1 : 1
Santa Cruz RS
07 Jun
Brasil de Farroupilha
0 : 1
Gramadense
30 May
Gramadense
2 : 2
Brasil de Farroupilha
23 May
Santa Cruz RS
1 : 1
Brasil de Farroupilha
Page 1 of 6

Gramadense

(Away)
23 Jul
Brasil de Pelotas
2 : 2
Gramadense
12 Jul
Gramadense
1 : 0
Brasil de Pelotas
05 Jul
Gramadense
1 : 1
GE Bage
27 Jun
GE Bage
0 : 1
Gramadense
17 Jun
Santa Cruz RS
2 : 2
Gramadense
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Gramadense63219:711
2Santa Cruz RS624010:710
3Monsoon61235:85
4Brasil de Farroupilha60425:74
Promotion - Copa FGF (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Brasil de Pelotas642012:414
2GE Bage62226:68
3Guarany de Bage61326:86
4Farroupilha60333:93
Promotion - Copa FGF (Play Offs)