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Brasil de Farroupilha vs Apafut - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Brazil Brazil

Gaucho 2
Our Tip

Match Events

10'
59' Event
Bezerra do Nascimento P.

AI Match Summary

The Gaucho 2 game between Brasil de Farroupilha and Apafut finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Brasil de Farroupilha.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Brasil de Farroupilha
35%
Draws
42%
Apafut
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Apafut

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

42% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Apafut come out ahead of Brasil de Farroupilha on wins alone.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 44%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 63%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.400000000000006%
Brasil de Farroupilha Clean Sheet 23%
Apafut Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Brasil de Farroupilha Apafut
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 6 12
Draws 16 10
Losses 7 7
Goals Scored 0.9 1.45
Goals Conceded 0.97 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 13, 2026 Gaucho 2
Brasil de Farroupilha vs Apafut
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Brasil de Farroupilha Compare

Top Goalscorer Bezerra do Nascimento P.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.82
Avg xA / game 0.53

Apafut Compare

Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Brasil de Farroupilha 37 / 100
Apafut 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Brasil de Farroupilha Apafut

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Apafut Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Brasil de Farroupilha scored in 66% of their last 29 games.

Apafut has conceded goals in 66% of their last 29 outings.

Solid form: Brasil de Farroupilha remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Games between these two average 1.00 goals.

Scoring Trends

Brasil de Farroupilha VS Apafut
1 Goals Scored 1.63
0.38 Goals Conceded 1.13
38% Over 1.5 88%
13% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Brasil de Farroupilha

(Home)
03 Oct
Brasil de Farroupilha
0 : 2
Passo Fundo
27 Sept
Pelotas
0 : 0
Brasil de Farroupilha
23 Sept
Brasil de Farroupilha
2 : 0
GE Bage
19 Sept
GE Gloria
0 : 0
Brasil de Farroupilha
16 Sept
Gramadense
0 : 0
Brasil de Farroupilha
Page 1 of 6

Apafut

(Away)
03 Oct
Apafut
1 : 0
Santa Cruz RS
27 Sept
Apafut
2 : 1
Lajeadense
23 Sept
Santa Cruz RS
2 : 2
Apafut
19 Sept
Apafut
1 : 1
Uniao Frederiquense De Futebol
16 Sept
Apafut
2 : 1
Pelotas
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Passo Fundo 15 8 6 1 21:9 30
2 Veranopolis 15 7 5 3 12:6 26
3 Esportivo Bento Goncalves 15 6 7 2 18:12 25
4 Santa Cruz RS 15 6 7 2 15:10 25
5 Apafut 15 6 6 3 20:14 24
6 Brasil de Pelotas 15 6 6 3 18:12 24
7 Uniao Frederiquense De Futebol 15 6 6 3 17:12 24
8 Brasil de Farroupilha 15 5 9 1 15:9 24
9 Aimore 15 5 6 4 14:14 21
10 EC Guarani 15 4 6 5 18:21 18
11 Pelotas 15 3 7 5 13:19 16
12 GE Bage 15 3 6 6 13:19 15
13 SC Gaucho 15 3 3 9 11:16 12
14 GE Gloria 15 2 6 7 12:18 12
15 Gramadense 15 1 8 6 10:19 11
16 Lajeadense 15 1 2 12 6:23 5
Promotion - Gaucho 2 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Gaucho 3 2027 (Main)