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Brasil de Farroupilha vs EC Guarani - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Brazil Brazil

Gaucho 2
Our Tip

Match Events

2' Event
Marcelinho
12' Event
Noninha
18' Event
Matheus

AI Match Summary

The Gaucho 2 game between Brasil de Farroupilha and EC Guarani finished 3-3.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
Brasil de Farroupilha
35%
Draws
37%
EC Guarani
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: EC Guarani

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • EC Guarani carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Brasil de Farroupilha's way, sitting at 42%.
  • Regular Gaucho 2 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 30%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
Brasil de Farroupilha Clean Sheet 20%
EC Guarani Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Brasil de Farroupilha EC Guarani
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 6 17
Draws 16 8
Losses 7 5
Goals Scored 0.9 1.93
Goals Conceded 0.97 0.9
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 23, 2026 Gaucho 2
Brasil de Farroupilha vs EC Guarani
3:3
May 22, 2016 Gaucho 2
EC Guarani vs Brasil de Farroupilha
0:1
May 18, 2016 Gaucho 2
Brasil de Farroupilha vs EC Guarani
3:0
May 1, 2016 Gaucho 2
Brasil de Farroupilha vs EC Guarani
1:1
Mar 12, 2016 Gaucho 2
EC Guarani vs Brasil de Farroupilha
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Brasil de Farroupilha Compare

Top Goalscorer Marcelinho
2 Goals
Assists Leader Marcos Eduardo
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59

EC Guarani Compare

Top Goalscorer Noninha
1 Goals
Assists Leader Matheus
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.42

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Brasil de Farroupilha 42 / 100
EC Guarani 37 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Brasil de Farroupilha EC Guarani

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Brasil de Farroupilha scored in 66% of their last 29 outings.

Historical meetings average 2.60 goals per match.

Brasil de Farroupilha went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Defensive concern: EC Guarani conceded in 57% of 30 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Brasil de Farroupilha VS EC Guarani
1 Goals Scored 1.13
0.38 Goals Conceded 1.38
38% Over 1.5 75%
13% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Brasil de Farroupilha

(Home)
03 Oct
Brasil de Farroupilha
0 : 2
Passo Fundo
27 Sept
Pelotas
0 : 0
Brasil de Farroupilha
23 Sept
Brasil de Farroupilha
2 : 0
GE Bage
19 Sept
GE Gloria
0 : 0
Brasil de Farroupilha
16 Sept
Gramadense
0 : 0
Brasil de Farroupilha
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EC Guarani

(Away)
27 Sept
EC Guarani
3 : 1
Uniao Frederiquense De Futebol
23 Sept
Passo Fundo
2 : 1
EC Guarani
19 Sept
EC Guarani
1 : 1
Santa Cruz RS
16 Sept
EC Guarani
1 : 1
Aimore
13 Sept
Pelotas
2 : 3
EC Guarani
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Passo Fundo 15 8 6 1 21:9 30
2 Veranopolis 15 7 5 3 12:6 26
3 Esportivo Bento Goncalves 15 6 7 2 18:12 25
4 Santa Cruz RS 15 6 7 2 15:10 25
5 Apafut 15 6 6 3 20:14 24
6 Brasil de Pelotas 15 6 6 3 18:12 24
7 Uniao Frederiquense De Futebol 15 6 6 3 17:12 24
8 Brasil de Farroupilha 15 5 9 1 15:9 24
9 Aimore 15 5 6 4 14:14 21
10 EC Guarani 15 4 6 5 18:21 18
11 Pelotas 15 3 7 5 13:19 16
12 GE Bage 15 3 6 6 13:19 15
13 SC Gaucho 15 3 3 9 11:16 12
14 GE Gloria 15 2 6 7 12:18 12
15 Gramadense 15 1 8 6 10:19 11
16 Lajeadense 15 1 2 12 6:23 5
Promotion - Gaucho 2 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Gaucho 3 2027 (Main)