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Brasil de Farroupilha vs Esportivo Bento Goncalves - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Brazil Brazil

Gaucho 2
Our Tip

Match Events

47' Event
Marcelinho
51' Event
Vini Ed

AI Match Summary

The Gaucho 2 game between Brasil de Farroupilha and Esportivo Bento Goncalves finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

25%
Brasil de Farroupilha
35%
Draws
40%
Esportivo Bento Goncalves
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Esportivo Bento Goncalves

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

25% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Esportivo Bento Goncalves come out ahead of Brasil de Farroupilha on wins alone.
  • 25% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Gaucho 2 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 63%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.8%
Brasil de Farroupilha Clean Sheet 68%
Esportivo Bento Goncalves Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Brasil de Farroupilha Esportivo Bento Goncalves
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 6 10
Draws 16 12
Losses 7 7
Goals Scored 0.86 1.17
Goals Conceded 0.97 0.86
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 9, 2026 Gaucho 2
Brasil de Farroupilha vs Esportivo Bento Goncalves
1:1
Jul 26, 2025 Gaucho 2
Brasil de Farroupilha vs Esportivo Bento Goncalves
0:2
Jun 19, 2024 Gaucho 2
Brasil de Farroupilha vs Esportivo Bento Goncalves
2:1
Jun 5, 2024 Gaucho 2
Esportivo Bento Goncalves vs Brasil de Farroupilha
3:1
Jun 12, 2022 Gaucho 2
Esportivo Bento Goncalves vs Brasil de Farroupilha
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Brasil de Farroupilha Compare

Top Goalscorer Marcelinho
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.82
Avg xA / game 0.53

Esportivo Bento Goncalves Compare

Top Goalscorer Vini Ed
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Brasil de Farroupilha 41 / 100
Esportivo Bento Goncalves 31 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Brasil de Farroupilha Esportivo Bento Goncalves

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Brasil de Farroupilha Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Brasil de Farroupilha's goal record stands at 62% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Esportivo Bento Goncalves's defensive record shows goals conceded in 69% of 29 matches.

Games between these two average 2.20 goals.

Brasil de Farroupilha has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Brasil de Farroupilha VS Esportivo Bento Goncalves
1 Goals Scored 1.38
0.38 Goals Conceded 1.13
38% Over 1.5 88%
13% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Brasil de Farroupilha

(Home)
10 Oct
Passo Fundo
2 : 0
Brasil de Farroupilha
03 Oct
Brasil de Farroupilha
0 : 2
Passo Fundo
27 Sept
Pelotas
0 : 0
Brasil de Farroupilha
23 Sept
Brasil de Farroupilha
2 : 0
GE Bage
19 Sept
GE Gloria
0 : 0
Brasil de Farroupilha
Page 1 of 6

Esportivo Bento Goncalves

(Away)
10 Oct
Esportivo Bento Goncalves
0 : 2
Brasil de Pelotas
03 Oct
Brasil de Pelotas
0 : 0
Esportivo Bento Goncalves
27 Sept
Aimore
1 : 1
Esportivo Bento Goncalves
23 Sept
Esportivo Bento Goncalves
2 : 1
SC Gaucho
19 Sept
Veranopolis
0 : 1
Esportivo Bento Goncalves
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Passo Fundo 15 8 6 1 21:9 30
2 Veranopolis 15 7 5 3 12:6 26
3 Esportivo Bento Goncalves 15 6 7 2 18:12 25
4 Santa Cruz RS 15 6 7 2 15:10 25
5 Apafut 15 6 6 3 20:14 24
6 Brasil de Pelotas 15 6 6 3 18:12 24
7 Uniao Frederiquense De Futebol 15 6 6 3 17:12 24
8 Brasil de Farroupilha 15 5 9 1 15:9 24
9 Aimore 15 5 6 4 14:14 21
10 EC Guarani 15 4 6 5 18:21 18
11 Pelotas 15 3 7 5 13:19 16
12 GE Bage 15 3 6 6 13:19 15
13 SC Gaucho 15 3 3 9 11:16 12
14 GE Gloria 15 2 6 7 12:18 12
15 Gramadense 15 1 8 6 10:19 11
16 Lajeadense 15 1 2 12 6:23 5
Promotion - Gaucho 2 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Gaucho 3 2027 (Main)