Sport Picks
Brasil de Farroupilha vs Gramadense Prediction & H2H Stats
Brazil
Copa FGF 
Match Events
71'
71'
Medeiros R.
AI Match Summary
First leg ended 0-1. The second leg ended 0-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
39%
35%
26%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Brasil de Farroupilha
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
39%
/ Low Confidence
- Gramadense's 0.9 goals per match outpaces what Brasil de Farroupilha have produced (0.89).
- Model gives Brasil de Farroupilha a 39% chance of winning this.
- Both sides arrive with similar form. In a knockout tie, that makes this genuinely unpredictable.
- Historical meetings favor Gramadense, who have won 2 of the last 4 encounters.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32%
Brasil de Farroupilha Clean Sheet 68%
Gramadense Clean Sheet 11%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Brasil de Farroupilha | Gramadense |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 30 |
| Wins | 6 | 6 |
| Draws | 16 | 15 |
| Losses | 6 | 9 |
| Goals Scored | 0.89 | 0.9 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.93 | 1.33 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.25 | 0.69 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 16, 2026 Gaucho 2
Gramadense vs Brasil de Farroupilha
0:0
Jun 7, 2026 Copa FGF
Brasil de Farroupilha vs Gramadense
0:1
May 30, 2026 Copa FGF
Gramadense vs Brasil de Farroupilha
2:2
Jun 4, 2025 Gaucho 2
Brasil de Farroupilha vs Gramadense
0:3
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Brasil de Farroupilha Compare
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63
Gramadense Compare
Top Goalscorer Medeiros R.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.63
Avg xA / game 0.38
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Brasil de Farroupilha 68 / 100
Gramadense 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Brasil de Farroupilha Gramadense
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Brasil de Farroupilha Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Brasil de Farroupilha found the back of the net in 64% of recent matches (28 games).
Defensive concern: Gramadense conceded in 73% of 30 recent games.
Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.
Recent resilience: Brasil de Farroupilha stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Brasil de Farroupilha VS Gramadense
1.13 Goals Scored 0.63
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.38
38% Over 1.5 75%
25% Over 2.5 25%
25% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Brasil de Farroupilha
(Home) 03 Oct
Brasil de Farroupilha
0 : 2 Passo Fundo
27 Sept
Pelotas
0 : 0 Brasil de Farroupilha
23 Sept
Brasil de Farroupilha
2 : 0 GE Bage
19 Sept
GE Gloria
0 : 0 Brasil de Farroupilha
16 Sept
Gramadense
0 : 0 Brasil de Farroupilha
Page 1 of 6
03 Oct
Brasil de Farroupilha
0 : 2 Passo Fundo
23 Sept
Brasil de Farroupilha
2 : 0 GE Bage
13 Sept
Brasil de Farroupilha
1 : 0 Apafut
09 Sept
Brasil de Farroupilha
1 : 1 Esportivo Bento Goncalves
23 Aug
Brasil de Farroupilha
3 : 3 EC Guarani
Page 1 of 3
Gramadense
(Away) 27 Sept
GE Gloria
1 : 1 Gramadense
23 Sept
Gramadense
1 : 1 Pelotas
19 Sept
GE Bage
1 : 1 Gramadense
16 Sept
Gramadense
0 : 0 Brasil de Farroupilha
12 Sept
Esportivo Bento Goncalves
3 : 1 Gramadense
Page 1 of 6
27 Sept
GE Gloria
1 : 1 Gramadense
19 Sept
GE Bage
1 : 1 Gramadense
12 Sept
Esportivo Bento Goncalves
3 : 1 Gramadense
09 Sept
Passo Fundo
2 : 0 Gramadense
01 Sept
Aimore
2 : 0 Gramadense
Page 1 of 4
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Gramadense | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 9:7 | 11 |
| 2 | Santa Cruz RS | 6 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 10:7 | 10 |
| 3 | Monsoon | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 5:8 | 5 |
| 4 | Brasil de Farroupilha | 6 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 5:7 | 4 |
Promotion - Copa FGF (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Brasil de Pelotas | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 12:4 | 14 |
| 2 | GE Bage | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 6:6 | 8 |
| 3 | Guarany de Bage | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 6:8 | 6 |
| 4 | Farroupilha | 6 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 3:9 | 3 |
Promotion - Copa FGF (Play Offs)
