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Brasil de Farroupilha vs Inter Santa Maria

Brazil Brazil

Gaucho 2 2025
Our Tip

Match Events

54' Event
Mauricio Ferreira
78' Event
Julio Simas

AI Match Summary

The Gaucho 2 2025 game between Brasil de Farroupilha and Inter Santa Maria finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
Brasil de Farroupilha
20%
Draws
38%
Inter Santa Maria
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Brasil de Farroupilha

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

67% / Medium Confidence
  • Brasil de Farroupilha haven't matched Inter Santa Maria's recent run of results.
  • Brasil de Farroupilha are the model's pick here, at 42%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 15%
Over 4.5 Goals 7%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.2%
Brasil de Farroupilha Clean Sheet 20%
Inter Santa Maria Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Brasil de Farroupilha Inter Santa Maria
Matches Played 29 31
Wins 7 12
Draws 7 12
Losses 15 7
Goals Scored 0.83 0.38
Goals Conceded 1.17 0.88
Expected Goals (xG) 0.83 0.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.17 0.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 16, 2025 Gaucho 2
Brasil de Farroupilha vs Inter Santa Maria
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Brasil de Farroupilha Compare

Top Goalscorer Mauricio Ferreira
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.64
Avg xA / game 0.41

Inter Santa Maria Compare

Top Goalscorer Julio Simas
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.35
Avg xA / game 0.21

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Brasil de Farroupilha 42 / 100
Inter Santa Maria 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Brasil de Farroupilha Inter Santa Maria

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Brasil de Farroupilha scored in 66% of their last 29 outings.

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Brasil de Farroupilha has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Inter Santa Maria has conceded goals in 48% of their last 31 outings.

Scoring Trends

Brasil de Farroupilha VS Inter Santa Maria
0.83 Goals Scored 0.38
1.17 Goals Conceded 0.88
67% Over 1.5 25%
33% Over 2.5 13%
17% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Brasil de Farroupilha

(Home)
17 Jun
Monsoon
2 : 1
Brasil de Farroupilha
14 Jun
Brasil de Farroupilha
1 : 1
Santa Cruz RS
07 Jun
Brasil de Farroupilha
0 : 1
Gramadense
30 May
Gramadense
2 : 2
Brasil de Farroupilha
23 May
Santa Cruz RS
1 : 1
Brasil de Farroupilha
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Inter Santa Maria

(Away)
07 Mar
Avenida
0 : 0
Inter Santa Maria
28 Feb
Inter Santa Maria
1 : 1
Monsoon
21 Feb
Inter Santa Maria
0 : 1
Guarany de Bage
16 Feb
Guarany de Bage
3 : 2
Inter Santa Maria
09 Feb
Monsoon
1 : 1
Inter Santa Maria
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League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Aimore1494116:531
2Inter Santa Maria1485116:729
3Passo Fundo1476120:1227
4Novo Hamburgo1473417:824
5Gramadense1466213:924
6Veranopolis1465317:923
7GE Bage145639:521
8Lajeadense1456313:1421
9Santa Cruz RS1446412:1118
10Brasil de Farroupilha1443715:2015
11GE Gloria142758:1313
12Esportivo Bento Goncalves1432912:2111
13Uniao Frederiquense De Futebol141766:1610
14SC Gaucho1423915:209
15Real SC1403114:233
16Futvida00000:00
Promotion - Gaucho 2 2025 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Gaucho 3 2026 (Main)