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Brasil de Farroupilha vs Santa Cruz RS

Brazil Brazil

Copa FGF
Our Tip

Match Events

60' Event
Elieser
80' Event
Lima J.

AI Match Summary

The Copa FGF game between Brasil de Farroupilha and Santa Cruz RS finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Brasil de Farroupilha
44%
Draws
20%
Santa Cruz RS
Draw rate projection: 44% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

71% / Medium Confidence
  • Brasil de Farroupilha carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 44% draw probability.
  • European nights carry their own weight — this Copa FGF fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 24%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.6%
Brasil de Farroupilha Clean Sheet 18%
Santa Cruz RS Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Brasil de Farroupilha Santa Cruz RS
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 7 6
Draws 7 13
Losses 15 10
Goals Scored 0.75 1.5
Goals Conceded 1.13 0.75
Expected Goals (xG) 0.75 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.13 0.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 14, 2026 Copa FGF
Brasil de Farroupilha vs Santa Cruz RS
1:1
May 23, 2026 Copa FGF
Santa Cruz RS vs Brasil de Farroupilha
1:1
May 28, 2025 Gaucho 2
Santa Cruz RS vs Brasil de Farroupilha
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Brasil de Farroupilha Compare

Top Goalscorer Elieser
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.58
Avg xA / game 0.38

Santa Cruz RS Compare

Top Goalscorer Lima J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Brasil de Farroupilha 36 / 100
Santa Cruz RS 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Brasil de Farroupilha Santa Cruz RS

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SAN Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Brasil de Farroupilha found the back of the net in 66% of recent matches (29 games).

Defensive concern: Santa Cruz RS conceded in 76% of 29 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Solid form: Brasil de Farroupilha remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Brasil de Farroupilha VS Santa Cruz RS
0.75 Goals Scored 1.5
1.13 Goals Conceded 0.75
75% Over 1.5 88%
13% Over 2.5 25%
13% Over 3.5 13%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Gramadense63219:711
2Santa Cruz RS624010:710
3Monsoon61235:85
4Brasil de Farroupilha60425:74
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Brasil de Pelotas642012:414
2GE Bage62226:68
3Guarany de Bage61326:86
4Farroupilha60333:93