Sport Picks

Brazil

Serie A 1979 Estádio Bento Freitas

Gremio Maringa

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Brasil de Pelotas play Gremio Maringa in the Serie A 1979. It looks like a close match. Recently, Brasil de Pelotas averaged 1.28 goals scored and 0.86 conceded. Gremio Maringa averaged 1.06 goals scored and 2.35 conceded. In past meetings, Brasil de Pelotas won 0, Gremio Maringa won 2, and they drew 1. Their last match on Sep 30, 1979 ended 0:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.23 for Brasil de Pelotas and 1.19 for Gremio Maringa. This points to a Brasil de Pelotas double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%

Brasil de Pelotas

33%

Draws

24%

Gremio Maringa

Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Brasil de Pelotas

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

78% / High Confidence

Brasil de Pelotas picked up more points recently compared to Gremio Maringa.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.23 vs 1.19 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 78%

Over 2.5 Goals 44%

Over 3.5 Goals 26%

Over 4.5 Goals 13%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 48%

Brasil de Pelotas Clean Sheet 20%

Gremio Maringa Clean Sheet 12%

First Half Goal 70%

Second Half Goal 74%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Brasil de Pelotas	Gremio Maringa
Matches Played	29	31
Wins	12	5
Draws	12	7
Losses	5	19
Goals Scored	1.28	1.06
Goals Conceded	0.86	2.35

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 30, 1979 Serie A Betano

Brasil de Pelotas vs Gremio Maringa

Possession: 51% - 55% Cards: 1 - 3

0:0

Jun 24, 1978 Serie A Betano

Gremio Maringa vs Brasil de Pelotas

Possession: 50% - 50% Cards: 2 - 3

4:0

May 11, 1978 Serie A Betano

Brasil de Pelotas vs Gremio Maringa

Possession: 53% - 54% Cards: 0 - 2

0:4

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Brasil de Pelotas 43 / 100

Gremio Maringa 24 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Brasil de Pelotas Gremio Maringa

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Brasil de Pelotas or Draw (1X)

Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals

First Half Result Home Win (HT)

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +23%

2.86

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +15.7%

2.63

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Brasil de Pelotas attacking → ← attacking Gremio Maringa

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Brasil de Pelotas scored in 83% of their last 29 games.

Gremio Maringa let in goals in 81% of their last 31 matches.

Games between these two average 2.67 goals.

Brasil de Pelotas went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Gremio Maringa lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

48 Points in last 5 22

1.25 Goals expected (xG) 0.00

1.38 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.00

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Colorado PR	9	4	4	1	10:6	12
2	Londrina	9	4	4	1	10:7	12
3	Anapolina	9	5	0	4	13:9	10
4	Joinville	9	4	2	3	12:8	10
5	EC Juventude	9	3	4	2	12:9	10
6	Sergipe	9	3	4	2	10:9	10
7	Novo Hamburgo	9	2	4	3	4:7	8
8	Goiania	9	2	3	4	6:9	7
9	Confianca	9	2	2	5	7:15	6
10	Avai	9	0	5	4	9:14	5

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Gremio Maringa	9	6	3	0	15:5	15
2	Desportiva Ferroviaria	9	5	3	1	10:5	13
3	Brasil de Pelotas	9	2	7	0	9:4	11
4	Caldense	9	5	0	4	10:9	10
5	SC Sao Paulo	9	4	2	3	9:9	10
6	Criciuma	9	4	1	4	9:8	9
7	SER Caxias do Sul	9	3	3	3	11:6	9
8	Operario-PR	9	2	1	6	3:13	5
9	AA Colatina	9	1	3	5	2:9	5
10	Chapecoense-SC	9	0	3	6	6:16	3

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Gama	9	5	2	2	14:9	12
2	Mixto	9	5	1	3	14:10	11
3	Comercial MS	8	4	2	2	14:10	10
4	Várzea Grande EC	9	4	2	3	12:11	10
5	Atletico GO	9	4	1	4	17:14	9
6	Itumbiara	9	4	1	4	11:11	9
7	Itabuna	9	3	3	3	10:8	9
8	Fluminense de Feira	9	3	3	3	5:6	9
9	Brasilia	9	3	1	5	11:17	7
10	Guara	8	0	2	6	2:14	2

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Campo Grande	9	5	2	2	9:6	12
2	Villa Nova AC	9	5	2	2	9:6	12
3	America MG	8	5	1	2	12:7	11
4	Campinense	9	5	1	3	8:4	11
5	Botafogo PB	8	4	2	2	15:9	10
6	Treze PB	9	4	1	4	15:10	9
7	Tuna Luso	9	3	1	5	12:13	7
8	Paysandu PA	9	2	2	5	10:14	6
9	Fast Clube	9	2	2	5	9:20	6
10	Atletico Rio Negro (Amazonas)	9	1	2	6	7:17	4

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Maranhao	9	6	3	0	18:6	15
2	Uberaba	9	7	0	2	15:6	14
3	Central SC	9	4	3	2	13:8	11
4	Uberlandia	9	4	2	3	14:9	10
5	Nautico	9	4	2	3	11:10	10
6	Moto Club	9	3	1	5	6:10	7
7	River-PI	9	2	2	5	9:12	6
8	Sampaio Correa	9	2	2	5	7:16	6
9	Piaui	9	0	6	3	8:15	6
10	Tiradentes	9	1	3	5	7:16	5

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	CSA	9	5	2	2	14:8	12
2	ASA	9	5	1	3	11:10	11
3	Itabaiana	9	4	3	2	10:6	11
4	Leonico	9	5	0	4	12:8	10
5	ABC	9	4	2	3	13:10	10
6	CRB	9	3	3	3	8:8	9
7	Ferroviario	9	2	5	2	6:7	9
8	Potiguar de Mossoró	9	2	3	4	5:10	7
9	Fortaleza	9	2	2	5	7:12	6
10	America RN	9	2	1	6	5:12	5

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Internacional	9	6	3	0	18:5	15
2	America RJ	9	6	1	2	17:7	13
3	Operario MS	9	4	2	3	11:13	10
4	Gremio	9	4	1	4	14:8	9
5	Santa Cruz	9	3	3	3	12:8	9
6	Figueirense	9	2	4	3	7:8	8
7	Athletico-PR	9	2	4	3	8:9	8
8	Coritiba	9	2	3	4	6:14	7
9	Rio Branco ES	9	1	5	3	10:18	7
10	Sport Recife	9	1	2	6	5:18	4

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Cruzeiro	9	5	3	1	21:9	13
2	Vila Nova FC	9	4	4	1	13:8	12
3	Goias	9	5	1	3	10:5	11
4	Atletico-MG	9	2	7	0	9:6	11
5	Dom Bosco	9	3	3	3	12:13	9
6	Ceara	9	3	2	4	18:19	8
7	Vitoria	9	2	4	3	10:11	8
8	Bahia	9	3	1	5	6:13	7
9	Remo	9	2	2	5	10:15	6
10	Nacional-AM (Manaus)	9	1	3	5	6:16	5