Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Brasil de Pelotas vs SC Gaucho

Brazil Brazil

Copa FGF 2025 Estádio Bento Freitas, Pelotas
Our Tip

Match Events

25' Event
Wesley
52' Event
Luiz
90'

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Copa FGF 2025 tie, finishing 1-1. Extra time or penalties follow.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

57%
Brasil de Pelotas
20%
Draws
23%
SC Gaucho
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Brasil de Pelotas

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • SC Gaucho haven't matched Brasil de Pelotas's recent run of results.
  • Brasil de Pelotas are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Brasil de Pelotas have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 44%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.2%
Brasil de Pelotas Clean Sheet 68%
SC Gaucho Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Brasil de Pelotas SC Gaucho
Matches Played 41 30
Wins 17 8
Draws 19 8
Losses 5 14
Goals Scored 1.22 1.03
Goals Conceded 0.73 0.97
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 0.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 2, 2026 Gaucho 2
Brasil de Pelotas vs SC Gaucho
1:1
Nov 23, 2025 Copa FGF
SC Gaucho vs Brasil de Pelotas
0:1
Nov 20, 2025 Copa FGF
Brasil de Pelotas vs SC Gaucho
1:1
Sep 17, 2025 Copa FGF
Brasil de Pelotas vs SC Gaucho
0:0
May 26, 2013 Gaucho 2
SC Gaucho vs Brasil de Pelotas
0:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Brasil de Pelotas Compare

Top Goalscorer Wesley
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59

SC Gaucho Compare

Top Goalscorer Luiz
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.45
Avg xA / game 0.28

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Brasil de Pelotas 95 / 100
SC Gaucho 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Brasil de Pelotas SC Gaucho

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Brasil de Pelotas Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Brasil de Pelotas found the back of the net in 80% of recent matches (41 games).

SC Gaucho's defensive record shows goals conceded in 73% of 30 matches.

Historical meetings average 1.60 goals per match.

Solid form: Brasil de Pelotas remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Brasil de Pelotas VS SC Gaucho
1.25 Goals Scored 0.5
0.5 Goals Conceded 1.13
50% Over 1.5 38%
25% Over 2.5 25%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Brasil de Pelotas

(Home)
23 Sept
Brasil de Pelotas
2 : 0
GE Gloria
19 Sept
Pelotas
0 : 3
Brasil de Pelotas
16 Sept
Brasil de Pelotas
2 : 0
Santa Cruz RS
13 Sept
Uniao Frederiquense De Futebol
0 : 0
Brasil de Pelotas
09 Sept
Veranopolis
1 : 0
Brasil de Pelotas
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SC Gaucho

(Away)
23 Sept
Esportivo Bento Goncalves
2 : 1
SC Gaucho
19 Sept
SC Gaucho
1 : 3
Passo Fundo
16 Sept
Lajeadense
1 : 0
SC Gaucho
13 Sept
SC Gaucho
0 : 0
Veranopolis
10 Sept
SC Gaucho
2 : 1
GE Gloria
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Tournament Bracket & Draw

Quarter-finals
SC Gaucho -
TBD -
Brasil de Pelotas 4
EC Juventude 2 2
Pelotas -
TBD -
Esportivo Bento Goncalves 0
Aimore 2
Semi-finals
SC Gaucho 1
Brasil de Pelotas 2
Pelotas 2
Aimore 3
Final
Brasil de Pelotas 3
Aimore 1