Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Brasil de Pelotas vs SC Gaucho

Brazil Brazil

Copa FGF 2025 Estádio Bento Freitas, Pelotas
Our Tip

Match Events

25' Event
Wesley
52' Event
Luiz
90'

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Copa FGF 2025 tie, finishing 1-1. Extra time or penalties follow.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Brasil de Pelotas
33%
Draws
27%
SC Gaucho
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Brasil de Pelotas

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • SC Gaucho haven't matched Brasil de Pelotas's recent run of results.
  • Brasil de Pelotas are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • Brasil de Pelotas have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 23%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.6%
Brasil de Pelotas Clean Sheet 68%
SC Gaucho Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Brasil de Pelotas SC Gaucho
Matches Played 34 36
Wins 14 10
Draws 14 9
Losses 6 17
Goals Scored 1 0
Goals Conceded 1.25 0

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 23, 2025 Copa FGF
SC Gaucho vs Brasil de Pelotas
0:1
Nov 20, 2025 Copa FGF
Brasil de Pelotas vs SC Gaucho
1:1
Sep 17, 2025 Copa FGF
Brasil de Pelotas vs SC Gaucho
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Brasil de Pelotas Compare

Top Goalscorer Wesley
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

SC Gaucho Compare

Top Goalscorer Luiz
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Brasil de Pelotas 50 / 100
SC Gaucho 27 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Brasil de Pelotas SC Gaucho

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick GEB Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Brasil de Pelotas found the back of the net in 76% of recent matches (34 games).

SC Gaucho's defensive record shows goals conceded in 67% of 36 matches.

Solid form: Brasil de Pelotas remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Historical meetings average 1.00 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Brasil de Pelotas VS -
1 Goals Scored 0
1.25 Goals Conceded 0
63% Over 1.5 0%
38% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Brasil de Pelotas

(Home)
12 Jul
Gramadense
1 : 0
Brasil de Pelotas
04 Jul
Brasil de Pelotas
1 : 0
Santa Cruz RS
27 Jun
Santa Cruz RS
1 : 1
Brasil de Pelotas
17 Jun
Guarany de Bage
3 : 3
Brasil de Pelotas
10 Jun
Brasil de Pelotas
4 : 0
Farroupilha
Page 1 of 7

SC Gaucho

(Away)
23 Nov
SC Gaucho
0 : 1
Brasil de Pelotas
20 Nov
Brasil de Pelotas
1 : 1
SC Gaucho
09 Nov
SC Gaucho
2 : 0
EC Juventude 2
25 Oct
Esportivo Bento Goncalves
1 : 1
SC Gaucho
19 Oct
SC Gaucho
1 : 0
Pelotas
Page 1 of 8

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Quarter-finals
SC Gaucho-
TBD-
Brasil de Pelotas4
EC Juventude 22
Pelotas-
TBD-
Esportivo Bento Goncalves0
Aimore2
Semi-finals
SC Gaucho1
Brasil de Pelotas2
Pelotas2
Aimore3
Final
Brasil de Pelotas3
Aimore1