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Brasilia FC (DF) vs Taguatinga

Brazil Brazil

Brasiliense 2023
Our Tip

Match Events

8'
Negueba
72' Event
Julio Carioca
86'
Jeffao

AI Match Summary

The Brasiliense 2023 game between Brasilia FC (DF) and Taguatinga finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Brasilia FC (DF).

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Brasilia FC (DF)
6%
Draws
90%
Taguatinga
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Taguatinga

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Brasilia FC (DF)'s 2.5 goals per match outpaces what Taguatinga have produced (0.75).
  • Taguatinga are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
Brasilia FC (DF) Clean Sheet 20%
Taguatinga Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Brasilia FC (DF) Taguatinga
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 9 9
Draws 3 10
Losses 18 11
Goals Scored 2.5 0.75
Goals Conceded 1 0.75
Expected Goals (xG) 2.50 0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.00 0.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 11, 2023 Brasiliense
Brasilia FC (DF) vs Taguatinga
1:0
Feb 19, 2022 Brasiliense
Taguatinga vs Brasilia FC (DF)
3:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Brasilia FC (DF) Compare

Top Goalscorer Julio Carioca
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.92
Avg xA / game 1.25

Taguatinga Compare

Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.42

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Brasilia FC (DF) 10 / 100
Taguatinga 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Brasilia FC (DF) Taguatinga

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick TAG Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Brasilia FC (DF) found the back of the net in 67% of recent matches (30 games).

Taguatinga let in goals in 70% of their last 30 matches.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Brasilia FC (DF) remains unbeaten in 1 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Brasilia FC (DF) VS Taguatinga
2.5 Goals Scored 0.75
1 Goals Conceded 0.75
75% Over 1.5 50%
63% Over 2.5 0%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Brasilia FC (DF)

(Home)
28 Feb
Sobradinho
1 : 0
Brasilia FC (DF)
22 Feb
Brasilia FC (DF)
0 : 2
Real Brasilia
12 Feb
Brasilia FC (DF)
1 : 3
Capital
07 Feb
Samambaia
4 : 1
Brasilia FC (DF)
31 Jan
ARUC
0 : 1
Brasilia FC (DF)
Page 1 of 6

Taguatinga

(Away)
20 Oct
Taguatinga
0 : 1
Legiao
12 Oct
Legiao
1 : 1
Taguatinga
05 Oct
Taguatinga
1 : 0
Legiao
29 Sept
Taguatinga
1 : 1
Sobradinho
23 Sept
SESP Brasilia
0 : 0
Taguatinga
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Real Brasilia953113:618
2Brasiliense943218:915
3Capital943211:815
4Paranoa943214:1515
5Gama94238:614
6Ceilandia942312:1114
7Samambaia941416:1613
8Santa Maria92169:147
9Taguatinga921612:197
10Brasilia FC (DF)92169:187
Promotion - Brasiliense 2023 (Play Offs)