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Brasiliense vs Acao

Brazil Brazil

Serie D 2022
Our Tip

Match Events

49' Event
Bernardo
77' Event
Dener
82' Event
Tarta

AI Match Summary

The Serie D 2022 game between Brasiliense and Acao finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Brasiliense.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Brasiliense
35%
Draws
32%
Acao
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

32% / Low Confidence
  • Acao haven't matched Brasiliense's recent run of results.
  • 32% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Serie D 2022 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 32.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 15%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Brasiliense Clean Sheet 17%
Acao Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Brasiliense Acao
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 12 9
Draws 12 4
Losses 8 17
Goals Scored 1.19 1.47
Goals Conceded 0.94 1.8
Expected Goals (xG) 1.36 1.40
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 2, 2022 Serie D
Brasiliense vs Acao
2:1
May 1, 2022 Serie D
Acao vs Brasiliense
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Brasiliense Compare

Top Goalscorer Bernardo
1 Goals
Assists Leader Tarta
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.05
Avg xA / game 0.68

Acao Compare

Top Goalscorer Dener
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.27
Avg xA / game 0.78

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Brasiliense 31 / 100
Acao 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Brasiliense Acao

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Acao Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Acao conceded in 87% of 30 recent games.

Brasiliense found the back of the net in 69% of recent matches (32 games).

Historical meetings average 2.50 goals per match.

Brasiliense has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Brasiliense VS Acao
1.13 Goals Scored 1.8
1 Goals Conceded 1.6
63% Over 1.5 100%
25% Over 2.5 100%
25% Over 3.5 40%

Recent Form & Match History

Brasiliense

(Home)
27 Jun
Goiatuba EC
1 : 0
Brasiliense
21 Jun
Brasiliense
0 : 0
Goiatuba EC
07 Jun
Primavera AC
1 : 2
Brasiliense
31 May
Brasiliense
1 : 1
Luverdense
24 May
Brasiliense
1 : 0
Inhumas
Page 1 of 7

Acao

(Away)
20 May
Acao
1 : 2
Santa Cruz MT
17 May
Acao
2 : 1
Cacerense
09 May
Paulistano FC
1 : 2
Acao
02 May
Uirapuru
2 : 2
Acao
20 Apr
Acao
2 : 2
Atletico MT
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Amazonas 14 9 4 1 37:12 31
2 Rio Branco AC 14 8 3 3 24:11 27
3 Sao Raimundo AM 14 6 6 2 19:11 24
4 Sao Raimundo RR 14 6 5 3 21:14 23
5 Porto Velho 14 6 3 5 28:20 21
6 Trem 14 4 4 6 29:27 16
7 SC Humaita 14 1 3 10 11:32 6
8 Nautico FC 14 1 2 11 15:57 5
Promotion - Serie D 2022 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Moto Club 14 9 1 4 24:14 28
2 Tocantinopolis 14 6 4 4 23:21 22
3 Pacajus 14 5 5 4 15:13 20
4 SE Juventude 14 5 5 4 14:14 20
5 Fluminense-PI 14 4 5 5 23:19 17
6 Castanhal 14 4 5 5 16:15 17
7 Tuna Luso 14 3 4 7 12:25 13
8 Julho Esporte 14 2 7 5 13:19 13
Promotion - Serie D 2022 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Retro 14 10 3 1 27:6 33
2 America RN 14 6 6 2 20:7 24
3 Sousa 14 7 2 5 18:17 23
4 Afogados da Ingazeira 14 6 4 4 23:12 22
5 Icasa 14 6 4 4 16:18 22
6 Sao Paulo Crystal 14 3 4 7 13:26 13
7 Globo FC 14 3 3 8 14:17 12
8 Crato 14 1 2 11 5:33 5
Promotion - Serie D 2022 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 ASA 14 7 4 3 15:12 25
2 Lagarto 14 6 7 1 23:12 25
3 Jacuipense 14 5 6 3 19:15 21
4 Santa Cruz 14 5 4 5 14:15 19
5 Sergipe 14 4 6 4 14:12 18
6 Juazeirense 14 4 4 6 8:13 16
7 Clube Sociedade Esportiva 14 3 5 6 19:22 14
8 Alagoinhas 14 2 4 8 13:24 10
Promotion - Serie D 2022 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 5)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Brasiliense 14 10 3 1 22:10 33
2 Anapolis 14 7 4 3 17:11 25
3 Costa Rica 14 6 3 5 14:13 21
4 Operario VG 14 6 3 5 10:12 21
5 Ceilandia 14 6 2 6 15:12 20
6 Ipora 14 3 6 5 12:12 15
7 Gremio Anapolis 14 3 5 6 12:14 14
8 Acao 14 1 2 11 12:30 5
Promotion - Serie D 2022 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 6)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Pouso Alegre 14 7 5 2 12:9 26
2 Bahia de Feira 14 6 6 2 17:8 24
3 Real Noroeste 14 6 5 3 19:13 23
4 Nova Venecia 14 5 7 2 19:13 22
5 Internacional de Limeira 14 4 5 5 16:16 17
6 Ferroviaria 14 4 4 6 15:14 16
7 URT 14 4 4 6 13:26 16
8 Caldense 14 1 2 11 8:20 5
Promotion - Serie D 2022 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 7)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sao Bernardo 14 7 6 1 13:3 27
2 Parana 14 6 5 3 13:8 23
3 Portuguesa RJ 14 5 6 3 13:10 21
4 Osasco Sporting 14 5 5 4 14:15 20
5 Nova Iguacu 14 5 5 4 13:14 20
6 Santo Andre 14 4 3 7 12:13 15
7 Cianorte 14 3 5 6 14:15 14
8 Perolas Negras 14 1 5 8 9:23 8
Promotion - Serie D 2022 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 8)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 SER Caxias do Sul 14 8 3 3 20:12 27
2 Aimore 14 8 3 3 17:14 27
3 FC Cascavel 14 7 4 3 16:10 25
4 Azuriz 14 7 3 4 17:12 24
5 Sao Luiz 14 4 6 4 18:17 18
6 Marcilio Dias 14 4 2 8 14:20 14
7 Gremio Juventus 14 2 6 6 11:17 12
8 Prospera Criciuma 14 1 3 10 9:20 6
Promotion - Serie D 2022 (Play Offs)