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Brasiliense vs Sobradinho

Brazil Brazil

Brasiliense Venue Estadio Elmo Serejo Farias (Serejao)
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AI Match Summary

The Brasiliense game between Brasiliense and Sobradinho finished 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Brasiliense
30%
Draws
34%
Sobradinho
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Brasiliense

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • Sobradinho carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 36% — that's where the model lands on Brasiliense taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 26%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65.8%
Brasiliense Clean Sheet 20%
Sobradinho Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Brasiliense Sobradinho
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 10 15
Draws 12 9
Losses 8 6
Goals Scored 1.13 0.4
Goals Conceded 1 0.8
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 0.40
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.00 0.80

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 21, 2026 Brasiliense
Brasiliense vs Sobradinho
0:0
Feb 16, 2025 Brasiliense
Sobradinho vs Brasiliense
0:0
Jan 25, 2020 Brasiliense
Brasiliense vs Sobradinho
2:0
Mar 20, 2019 Brasiliense
Brasiliense vs Sobradinho
1:0
Apr 7, 2018 Brasiliense
Brasiliense vs Sobradinho
0:2

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Brasiliense 36 / 100
Sobradinho 34 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Brasiliense Sobradinho

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Brasiliense scored in 67% of their last 30 games.

Sobradinho has conceded goals in 60% of their last 30 outings.

Brasiliense has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

H2H data points to 1.00 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

Brasiliense VS Sobradinho
1.13 Goals Scored 0.4
1 Goals Conceded 0.8
63% Over 1.5 20%
25% Over 2.5 20%
25% Over 3.5 0%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Gama972015:423
2Samambaia962121:520
3Sobradinho952211:817
4Ceilandia951317:1216
5Capital943219:1015
6Brasiliense943213:715
7Real Brasilia931511:1310
8Paranoa92078:246
9Brasilia FC (DF)91084:193
10ARUC91083:203