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Brasiliense vs Sobradinho

Brazil Brazil

Brasiliense Venue Estadio Elmo Serejo Farias (Serejao), Taguatinga
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AI Match Summary

The Brasiliense game between Brasiliense and Sobradinho finished 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%
Brasiliense
30%
Draws
33%
Sobradinho
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Brasiliense

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Sobradinho carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 36% — that's where the model lands on Brasiliense taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 36%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.2%
Brasiliense Clean Sheet 20%
Sobradinho Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Brasiliense Sobradinho
Matches Played 33 30
Wins 13 15
Draws 12 9
Losses 8 6
Goals Scored 1.27 1.87
Goals Conceded 0.94 0.7
Expected Goals (xG) 0.90 1.04
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 21, 2026 Brasiliense
Brasiliense vs Sobradinho
0:0
Feb 16, 2025 Brasiliense
Sobradinho vs Brasiliense
0:0
Jan 25, 2020 Brasiliense
Brasiliense vs Sobradinho
2:0
Mar 20, 2019 Brasiliense
Brasiliense vs Sobradinho
1:0
Apr 7, 2018 Brasiliense
Brasiliense vs Sobradinho
0:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Brasiliense 36 / 100
Sobradinho 34 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Brasiliense Sobradinho

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Brasiliense scored in 70% of their last 33 games.

Sobradinho has conceded goals in 60% of their last 30 outings.

Brasiliense has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

H2H data points to 1.00 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

Brasiliense VS Sobradinho
1.13 Goals Scored 0.83
1.25 Goals Conceded 0.67
75% Over 1.5 33%
38% Over 2.5 33%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Brasiliense

(Home)
27 Jun
Goiatuba EC
1 : 0
Brasiliense
21 Jun
Brasiliense
0 : 0
Goiatuba EC
07 Jun
Primavera AC
1 : 2
Brasiliense
31 May
Brasiliense
1 : 1
Luverdense
24 May
Brasiliense
1 : 0
Inhumas
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Sobradinho

(Away)
21 Mar
Gama
1 : 0
Sobradinho
15 Mar
Samambaia
0 : 1
Sobradinho
08 Mar
Sobradinho
0 : 0
Samambaia
28 Feb
Sobradinho
1 : 0
Brasilia FC (DF)
22 Feb
Samambaia
3 : 0
Sobradinho
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Gama 9 7 2 0 15:4 23
2 Samambaia 9 6 2 1 21:5 20
3 Sobradinho 9 5 2 2 11:8 17
4 Ceilandia 9 5 1 3 17:12 16
5 Capital 9 4 3 2 19:10 15
6 Brasiliense 9 4 3 2 13:7 15
7 Real Brasilia 9 3 1 5 11:13 10
8 Paranoa 9 2 0 7 8:24 6
9 Brasilia FC (DF) 9 1 0 8 4:19 3
10 ARUC 9 1 0 8 3:20 3
Promotion - Brasiliense (Play Offs)
Relegation - Brasiliense 2 (Main)