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Brasiliense vs Unai EC

Brazil Brazil

Campeonato Brasiliense 2021
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AI Match Summary

Brasiliense in this Campeonato Brasiliense 2021 matchup, with the score ending 3-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Brasiliense.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%
Brasiliense
20%
Draws
34%
Unai EC
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Brasiliense

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Unai EC haven't matched Brasiliense's recent run of results.
  • 46% — that's where the model lands on Brasiliense taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34.8%
Brasiliense Clean Sheet 68%
Unai EC Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Brasiliense Unai EC
Matches Played 34 30
Wins 13 9
Draws 12 7
Losses 9 14
Goals Scored 1.35 1.57
Goals Conceded 1.06 1.7
Expected Goals (xG) 1.17 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 9, 2022 Brasiliense
Unai EC vs Brasiliense
3:2
Apr 10, 2021 Brasiliense
Brasiliense vs Unai EC
3:1
Mar 4, 2020 Brasiliense
Brasiliense vs Unai EC
4:1
Apr 7, 2019 Brasiliense
Brasiliense vs Unai EC
3:2
Apr 3, 2019 Brasiliense
Unai EC vs Brasiliense
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Brasiliense 50 / 100
Unai EC 27 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Brasiliense Unai EC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Brasiliense Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Unai EC's defensive record shows goals conceded in 80% of 30 matches.

H2H data points to 4.00 goals as a typical output.

Brasiliense found the back of the net in 71% of recent matches (34 games).

Brasiliense went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Brasiliense VS -
1.13 Goals Scored 0
0.88 Goals Conceded 0
50% Over 1.5 0%
38% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Brasiliense

(Home)
27 Jun
Goiatuba EC
1 : 0
Brasiliense
21 Jun
Brasiliense
0 : 0
Goiatuba EC
07 Jun
Primavera AC
1 : 2
Brasiliense
31 May
Brasiliense
1 : 1
Luverdense
24 May
Brasiliense
1 : 0
Inhumas
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Unai EC

(Away)
19 Feb
Gama
3 : 2
Unai EC
16 Feb
Unai EC
2 : 1
Paranoa
12 Feb
Capital
3 : 1
Unai EC
09 Feb
Unai EC
3 : 2
Brasiliense
06 Feb
Ceilandia
1 : 0
Unai EC
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League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Taguatinga 6 4 0 2 11:8 12
2 Gama 6 3 1 2 9:4 10
3 Unai EC 6 3 1 2 13:10 10
4 Luziania 6 3 0 3 7:9 9
5 Real Brasilia 6 2 1 3 6:10 7
6 Samambaia 6 1 1 4 11:19 4
Promotion - Campeonato Brasiliense 2021 (Second stage)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Brasiliense 6 6 0 0 18:5 18
2 Capital 6 5 1 0 11:2 16
3 Ceilandia 6 4 0 2 14:7 12
4 Santa Maria 6 1 2 3 5:6 5
5 Sobradinho 6 0 1 5 5:16 1
6 Bosque Formosa 6 0 0 6 7:21 0
Promotion - Campeonato Brasiliense 2021 (Second stage)