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Bratstvo Gracanica vs Kakanj

Bosnia and Herzegovina Bosnia and Herzegovina

Prva Liga - FBiH 2023/2024
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Bratstvo Gracanica play Kakanj in the Prva Liga - FBiH 2023/2024. It looks like a close match. Recently, Bratstvo Gracanica averaged 1.13 goals scored and 1.09 conceded. Kakanj averaged 1.03 goals scored and 1.33 conceded. In past meetings, Bratstvo Gracanica won 2, Kakanj won 1, and they drew 2. Their last match on May 11, 2024 ended 2:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.04 for Bratstvo Gracanica and 1.00 for Kakanj. This points to a Bratstvo Gracanica double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%
Bratstvo Gracanica
35%
Draws
28%
Kakanj
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Bratstvo Gracanica

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

73% / Medium Confidence
  • Bratstvo Gracanica picked up more points recently compared to Kakanj.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.04 vs 1.00 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 67%
Over 2.5 Goals 43%
Over 3.5 Goals 26%
Over 4.5 Goals 13%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 49%
Bratstvo Gracanica Clean Sheet 23%
Kakanj Clean Sheet 14%
First Half Goal 60%
Second Half Goal 64%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Bratstvo Gracanica Kakanj
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 11 7
Draws 11 9
Losses 10 14
Goals Scored 1.13 1.03
Goals Conceded 1.09 1.33

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 11, 2024 Prva Liga - FBiH
Bratstvo Gracanica vs Kakanj
2:1
Oct 14, 2023 Prva Liga - FBiH
Kakanj vs Bratstvo Gracanica
1:1
Mar 25, 2023 Prva Liga - FBiH
Bratstvo Gracanica vs Kakanj
3:0
Sep 3, 2022 Prva Liga - FBiH
Kakanj vs Bratstvo Gracanica
1:1
Mar 12, 2022 Prva Liga - FBiH
Kakanj vs Bratstvo Gracanica
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Bratstvo Gracanica Compare

Top Goalscorer Smajic E.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44

Kakanj Compare

Top Goalscorer Cago S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bratstvo Gracanica 38 / 100
Kakanj 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Bratstvo Gracanica Kakanj

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Bratstvo Gracanica or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +27.6%
3.45
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +16.1%
2.70
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Bratstvo Gracanica attacking → ← attacking Kakanj

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Bratstvo Gracanica scored in 66% of their last 32 games.

Kakanj let in goals in 73% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.60 goals.

Bratstvo Gracanica went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Kakanj lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

44 Points in last 5 30
0.88 Goals expected (xG) 0.00
1.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.00

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Sloboda Tuzla30216354:2069
2Stupcanica30195654:2462
3Bratstvo Gracanica301641043:3652
4Celik Zenica301210840:3146
5Tomislav30129948:4045
6Gornji Rahic301361145:4145
7Gorazde301271136:2943
8BFK Simm Bau301171250:5240
9Banovici301161336:4239
10Gradacac301251340:3638
11Hadzici309101129:3537
12TOSK Tesanj301131640:4436
13Gradina Srebrenik30971425:4334
14Jedinstvo Bihac30961527:5133
15Kakanj30791433:4230
16Doboj Kakanj30442233:6716