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Braunschweig vs Holstein Kiel - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Germany Germany

2. Bundesliga Eintracht-Stadion, Braunschweig
Fri, Oct 9, 2026
1 - 0
04:30 PM
Our Tip

Match Events

3'
Urbich J.
11' Event
Urbich J.
15'
Nekic I.

AI Match Summary

Braunschweig host Holstein Kiel in the 2. Bundesliga. Little to choose between these two on current form. Recent numbers: Braunschweig at 1.38 goals for, 1.83 against; Holstein Kiel at 1.48 for, 1.59 against. Past meetings favor Holstein Kiel slightly — 1-2-2 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on May 2, 2026, ending 2:0. xG projections (1.50 - 1.63) back Holstein Kiel to edge this. Away (2) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

12%
Braunschweig
30%
Draws
58%
Holstein Kiel
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Holstein Kiel

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Braunschweig haven't matched Holstein Kiel's recent run of results.
  • Holstein Kiel are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
Braunschweig Clean Sheet 14%
Holstein Kiel Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Braunschweig Holstein Kiel
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 6 10
Draws 7 7
Losses 16 12
Goals Scored 1.38 1.48
Goals Conceded 1.83 1.59
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 2, 2026 2. Bundesliga
Holstein Kiel vs Braunschweig
2:0
Dec 7, 2025 2. Bundesliga
Braunschweig vs Holstein Kiel
1:1
Jul 19, 2025 Club Friendly
Braunschweig vs Holstein Kiel
1:4
Mar 20, 2025 Club Friendly
Holstein Kiel vs Braunschweig
2:2
Jan 19, 2024 2. Bundesliga
Holstein Kiel vs Braunschweig
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Braunschweig Compare

Top Goalscorer Urbich J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Holstein Kiel Compare

Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Braunschweig 10 / 100
Holstein Kiel 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Braunschweig Holstein Kiel

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Holstein Kiel Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 3.20 goals per match.

Braunschweig's goal record stands at 66% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Holstein Kiel has conceded goals in 79% of their last 29 outings.

Braunschweig went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Braunschweig VS Holstein Kiel
1.75 Goals Scored 1.13
2.13 Goals Conceded 1.25
63% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 38%
63% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Braunschweig

(Home)
02 Oct
Eintracht Frankfurt
4 : 0
Braunschweig
19 Sept
Kaiserslautern
1 : 0
Braunschweig
12 Sept
Braunschweig
2 : 2
Dresden
06 Sept
VfL Osnabruck
3 : 1
Braunschweig
28 Aug
Braunschweig
3 : 5
Hertha Berlin
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Holstein Kiel

(Away)
03 Oct
Holstein Kiel
3 : 1
Viborg
19 Sept
Holstein Kiel
1 : 1
VfL Osnabruck
13 Sept
Heidenheim
1 : 0
Holstein Kiel
05 Sept
Holstein Kiel
2 : 2
Nurnberg
30 Aug
Magdeburg
2 : 0
Holstein Kiel
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Hertha Berlin 6 6 0 0 17:7 18
2 Nurnberg 6 5 1 0 16:6 16
3 Heidenheim 6 4 1 1 14:12 13
4 Wolfsburg 6 3 2 1 15:8 11
5 Kaiserslautern 6 3 2 1 6:4 11
6 Magdeburg 6 3 1 2 11:9 10
7 Energie Cottbus 6 2 2 2 14:13 8
8 St. Pauli 6 1 4 1 8:8 7
9 Bochum 6 2 1 3 5:6 7
10 Hannover 6 2 1 3 7:9 7
11 VfL Osnabruck 6 2 1 3 9:12 7
12 Greuther Furth 6 1 3 2 9:11 6
13 Arminia Bielefeld 6 1 2 3 10:12 5
14 Karlsruher 6 1 2 3 6:12 5
15 Braunschweig 6 1 1 4 12:13 4
16 Holstein Kiel 6 0 4 2 7:10 4
17 Dresden 6 1 1 4 8:14 4
18 Darmstadt 6 1 1 4 5:13 4
Promotion - Bundesliga 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Bundesliga (Relegation)
Relegation - 2. Bundesliga (Relegation)
Relegation - 3. Liga 2027/2028 (Main)
Relegation - 3. Liga 2027/2028 (Main)