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Bray vs Athlone

Ireland Ireland

Division 1 Carlisle Grounds, Bray
Bray Logo

Bray

1 - 0
FT
Athlone Logo

Athlone

Our Tip

Match Events

19'
Kehir J.
21'
Sub
Maloney A. In: Lawless Z.
Out: Maloney A.
27' Event
Ring D.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Bray in this Division 1 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Bray.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Bray
20%
Draws
57%
Athlone
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Athlone

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Bray lately — more wins on the board than Athlone.
  • 57% — that's where the model lands on Athlone taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Bray Clean Sheet 14%
Athlone Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Bray Athlone
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 11 10
Draws 7 7
Losses 10 12
Goals Scored 1.96 1.07
Goals Conceded 1.5 1.14
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 28, 2026 Division 1
Athlone vs Bray
2:1
Jul 3, 2026 Division 1
Bray vs Athlone
1:0
Apr 17, 2026 Division 1
Athlone vs Bray
2:1
Mar 6, 2026 Division 1
Bray vs Athlone
2:1
Sep 5, 2025 Division 1
Bray vs Athlone
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Bray Compare

Top Goalscorer Ring D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66

Athlone Compare

Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bray 23 / 100
Athlone 47 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Bray Athlone

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Athlone Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Bray scored in 89% of their last 28 outings.

Athlone let in goals in 69% of their last 29 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.80 goals per match.

Solid form: Bray remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Bray VS Athlone
1.5 Goals Scored 1.38
1.88 Goals Conceded 1.13
88% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Bray

(Home)
11 Sept
Kerry
0 : 1
Bray
04 Sept
Bray
1 : 1
Cork City
28 Aug
Athlone
2 : 1
Bray
22 Aug
Longford
4 : 2
Bray
14 Aug
Galway United
2 : 1
Bray
Page 1 of 6

Athlone

(Away)
11 Sept
UC Dublin
2 : 2
Athlone
04 Sept
Finn Harps
0 : 1
Athlone
28 Aug
Athlone
2 : 1
Bray
21 Aug
Wexford
0 : 2
Athlone
14 Aug
Waterford
2 : 1
Athlone
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Cork City 31 21 5 5 64:29 68
2 UC Dublin 31 14 7 10 55:40 49
3 Bray 31 13 8 10 59:44 47
4 Cobh Ramblers 31 13 6 12 38:43 45
5 Kerry 31 11 9 11 39:36 42
6 Longford 31 11 8 12 41:41 41
7 Athlone 31 11 8 12 33:36 41
8 Wexford 31 10 7 14 34:46 37
9 Treaty United 31 8 9 14 31:45 33
10 Finn Harps 31 6 7 18 29:63 25
Promotion - Premier Division 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Division 1 (Play Offs)