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Bray vs Cherry Orchard

Ireland Ireland

FAI Cup 2005/2006
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

This match ends 1-0, with Bray advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Bray
20%
Draws
29%
Cherry Orchard
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Bray

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Bray carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 51% — that's where the model lands on Bray taking it.
  • Bray have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Bray, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Bray Clean Sheet 20%
Cherry Orchard Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Bray Cherry Orchard
Matches Played 32 21
Wins 15 7
Draws 7 4
Losses 10 10
Goals Scored 2.06 1.57
Goals Conceded 1.31 1.62
Expected Goals (xG) 2.10 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 26, 2005 FAI Cup
Bray vs Cherry Orchard
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bray 49 / 100
Cherry Orchard 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Bray Cherry Orchard

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Bray Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Bray found the back of the net in 91% of recent matches (32 games).

Cherry Orchard let in goals in 76% of their last 21 matches.

Bray has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Cherry Orchard lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Bray VS -
3 Goals Scored 0
1.38 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
75% Over 2.5 0%
75% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Bray

(Home)
18 Sept
Bray
2 : 0
Treaty United
11 Sept
Kerry
0 : 1
Bray
04 Sept
Bray
1 : 1
Cork City
28 Aug
Athlone
2 : 1
Bray
22 Aug
Longford
4 : 2
Bray
Page 1 of 7

Cherry Orchard

(Away)
26 Sept
Firhouse
3 : 3
Cherry Orchard
22 Apr
North End United
2 : 0
Cherry Orchard
28 Apr
Bangor Celtic
3 : 2
Cherry Orchard
21 May
Cobh Ramblers
2 : 1
Cherry Orchard
24 Apr
Cherry Orchard
1 : 0
Killester Donnycarney
Page 1 of 5

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/16-finals
Cork City 1
Galway United 0
Kilkenny City 0
Finn Harps 1
St. Patricks 1
Waterford 0
Malahide United 1
Sligo Rovers 3
Shamrock Rovers 2
Fanad United 0
Carew Park 1
Douglas Hall 3
Kildare County 4
Galway United 1
Shelbourne 0
Derry City 2
Bray 1
Avondale United 0
Lissadell Utd 0
Cherry Orchard 4
Longford 5
Waterford Crystal 0
Dublin City 0
UC Dublin 2
Bohemians 2
Athlone 0
Cobh Ramblers 0
Wayside Celtic 1
Dundalk 7
Monaghan United 1
Limerick 0
Drogheda 2
1/8-finals
Cork City 3
Finn Harps 2
St. Patricks 1
Sligo Rovers 2
Shamrock Rovers 2
Douglas Hall 0
Kildare County 1
Derry City 3
Bray 1
Cherry Orchard 0
Longford 2
UC Dublin 3
Bohemians 2
Wayside Celtic 2
Dundalk 0
Drogheda 2
Quarter-finals
Cork City 3
Sligo Rovers 1
Shamrock Rovers 0
Derry City 1
Bray 3
UC Dublin 2
Bohemians 1
Drogheda 2
Semi-finals
Cork City 1
Derry City 0
Bray 1
Drogheda 2
Final
Cork City 0
Drogheda 2