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Stadium Background

Brazil U20 vs Mexico U20

World World

World Cup U20 Estadio Nacional Julio Martínez Prádanos, Santiago de Chile
Our Tip

Match Events

10' Event
Dominguez A.
21' Event
Rafael Coutinho
30'
Igor Serrote

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 2-2. The second leg ended 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
Brazil U20
15%
Draws
42%
Mexico U20
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Brazil U20

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

42% / Low Confidence
  • Brazil U20 carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Mexico U20 a 42% chance of winning this.
  • Brazil U20 have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Brazil U20, who have won 3 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 33.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 15%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Brazil U20 Clean Sheet 20%
Mexico U20 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Brazil U20 Mexico U20
Matches Played 25 32
Wins 16 12
Draws 4 6
Losses 5 14
Goals Scored 1.76 1.69
Goals Conceded 1.08 1.56
Expected Goals (xG) 1.35 1.17
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 28, 2025 World Cup U20
Brazil U20 vs Mexico U20
2:2
Sep 8, 2024 Friendly International
Brazil U20 vs Mexico U20
3:2
Sep 5, 2024 Friendly International
Brazil U20 vs Mexico U20
2:1
Nov 14, 2021 Friendly International
Mexico U20 vs Brazil U20
2:1
May 31, 2013 Maurice Revello Tournament
Brazil U20 vs Mexico U20
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Brazil U20 Compare

Top Goalscorer Rafael Coutinho
1 Goals
Assists Leader Luighi
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.04
Avg xA / game 0.68

Mexico U20 Compare

Top Goalscorer Dominguez A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Ochoa D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.65

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Brazil U20 16 / 100
Mexico U20 65 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Brazil U20 Mexico U20

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Mexico U20 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Brazil U20's goal record stands at 84% scoring rate across 25 recent games.

Games between these two average 3.20 goals.

Brazil U20 has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Mexico U20 let in goals in 72% of their last 32 matches.

Scoring Trends

Brazil U20 VS Mexico U20
1.71 Goals Scored 1.63
0.71 Goals Conceded 1
71% Over 1.5 63%
43% Over 2.5 50%
29% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Brazil U20

(Home)
12 Aug
Brazil U20
2 : 0
Bolivia U20
09 Aug
Brazil U20
2 : 0
Bolivia U20
06 Jun
Chile U20
0 : 1
Brazil U20
31 Mar
Brazil U20
3 : 1
Paraguay U20
28 Mar
Brazil U20
3 : 1
Paraguay U20
Page 1 of 5

Mexico U20

(Away)
09 Aug
USA U20
0 : 2
Mexico U20
08 Aug
Canada U20
1 : 2
Mexico U20
06 Aug
Mexico U20
4 : 0
Panama U20
31 Jul
Mexico U20
4 : 0
Guatemala U20
28 Jul
Costa Rica U20
0 : 2
Mexico U20
Page 1 of 7

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Japan U20 3 3 0 0 7:0 9
2 Chile U20 3 1 0 2 3:5 3
3 Egypt U20 3 1 0 2 3:5 3
4 New Zealand U20 3 1 0 2 3:6 3
Promotion - World Cup U20 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ukraine U20 3 2 1 0 5:3 7
2 Paraguay U20 3 1 1 1 4:4 4
3 South Korea U20 3 1 1 1 3:3 4
4 Panama U20 3 0 1 2 4:6 1
Promotion - World Cup U20 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Morocco U20 3 2 0 1 4:2 6
2 Mexico U20 3 1 2 0 5:4 5
3 Spain U20 3 1 1 1 3:4 4
4 Brazil U20 3 0 1 2 3:5 1
Promotion - World Cup U20 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Argentina U20 3 3 0 0 8:2 9
2 Italy U20 3 1 1 1 3:3 4
3 Australia U20 3 1 0 2 4:6 3
4 Cuba U20 3 0 1 2 4:8 1
Promotion - World Cup U20 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 5)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 USA U20 3 2 0 1 13:3 6
2 South Africa U20 3 2 0 1 8:3 6
3 France U20 3 2 0 1 8:4 6
4 New Caledonia U20 3 0 0 3 1:20 0
Promotion - World Cup U20 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 6)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Colombia U20 3 1 2 0 2:1 5
2 Norway U20 3 1 2 0 2:1 5
3 Nigeria U20 3 1 1 1 4:4 4
4 Saudi Arabia U20 3 0 1 2 3:5 1
Promotion - World Cup U20 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams