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Brazil U23 vs Colombia U23 Prediction & H2H Stats

World World

Olympic Games
Brazil U23 Logo

Brazil U23

2 - 0
FT
Colombia U23 Logo

Colombia U23

Our Tip

Match Events

17'
Sub
Michel In: Luan Patrick
Out: Michel
21'
Arthur Chaves
23'
Kaiki
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Brazil U23 in this Olympic Games matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Brazil U23.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

57%
Brazil U23
15%
Draws
28%
Colombia U23
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Brazil U23

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Brazil U23 have won more games recently than Colombia U23.
  • Win probability leans Brazil U23's way, sitting at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • Brazil U23 have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.400000000000002%
Brazil U23 Clean Sheet 68%
Colombia U23 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Brazil U23 Colombia U23
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 20 8
Draws 2 5
Losses 8 17
Goals Scored 1.83 1.23
Goals Conceded 0.93 1.57
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 26, 2024 Olympic Games
Brazil U23 vs Colombia U23
2:0
Oct 26, 2023 Pan American Games
Brazil U23 vs Colombia U23
2:0
Feb 4, 2020 Olympic Games
Brazil U23 vs Colombia U23
1:1
Sep 6, 2019 Friendly International
Brazil U23 vs Colombia U23
2:0
Aug 3, 2003 Pan American Games
Brazil U23 vs Colombia U23
4:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Brazil U23 Compare

Top Goalscorer Endrick
1 Goals
Assists Leader John Kennedy
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

Colombia U23 Compare

Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Brazil U23 50 / 100
Colombia U23 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Brazil U23 Colombia U23

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Brazil U23 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Brazil U23 scored in 87% of their last 30 games.

Colombia U23 has conceded goals in 83% of their last 30 outings.

H2H data points to 2.40 goals as a typical output.

Colombia U23 lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Brazil U23 VS Colombia U23
1.75 Goals Scored 1.5
0.63 Goals Conceded 1.5
75% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Brazil U23

(Home)
11 Feb
Brazil U23
0 : 1
Argentina U23
08 Feb
Venezuela U23
1 : 2
Brazil U23
05 Feb
Brazil U23
0 : 1
Paraguay U23
01 Feb
Venezuela U23
3 : 1
Brazil U23
29 Jan
Brazil U23
2 : 1
Ecuador U23
Page 1 of 6

Colombia U23

(Away)
01 Feb
Colombia U23
0 : 2
Bolivia U23
29 Jan
Colombia U23
0 : 1
Venezuela U23
26 Jan
Brazil U23
2 : 0
Colombia U23
20 Jan
Ecuador U23
3 : 0
Colombia U23
13 Jan
Colombia U23
5 : 0
Dominican Republic U23
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Brazil U23 4 3 0 1 6:4 9
2 Venezuela U23 4 2 2 0 8:5 8
3 Ecuador U23 4 2 1 1 7:3 7
4 Bolivia U23 4 1 1 2 5:6 4
5 Colombia U23 4 0 0 4 0:8 0
Promotion - Olympic Games (Final Group)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Argentina U23 4 2 2 0 11:4 8
2 Paraguay U23 4 2 1 1 7:6 7
3 Chile U23 4 2 0 2 3:7 6
4 Uruguay U23 4 1 1 2 9:8 4
5 Peru U23 4 1 0 3 1:6 3
Promotion - Olympic Games (Final Group)