Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Brazil U23 vs Ecuador U23

World World

Olympic Games
Brazil U23 Logo

Brazil U23

2 - 1
FT
Ecuador U23 Logo

Ecuador U23

Our Tip

Match Events

32'
Garcia C.
36'
Arthur Chaves
46'
Sub
Mauricio In: Gabriel Pec
Out: Mauricio
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Olympic Games game between Brazil U23 and Ecuador U23 finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Brazil U23.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Brazil U23
15%
Draws
46%
Ecuador U23
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Ecuador U23

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Brazil U23 carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Brazil U23's way, sitting at 36%.
  • Regular Olympic Games form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Brazil U23 Clean Sheet 20%
Ecuador U23 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Brazil U23 Ecuador U23
Matches Played 32 20
Wins 21 5
Draws 3 2
Losses 8 13
Goals Scored 1.84 1.15
Goals Conceded 0.94 1.9
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 0.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 29, 2024 Olympic Games
Brazil U23 vs Ecuador U23
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Brazil U23 Compare

Top Goalscorer Marlon Gomes
1 Goals
Assists Leader Gabriel Pirani
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72

Ecuador U23 Compare

Top Goalscorer Mercado P.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.74
Avg xA / game 0.45

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Brazil U23 36 / 100
Ecuador U23 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Brazil U23 Ecuador U23

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Brazil U23 scored in 88% of their last 32 games.

Ecuador U23 let in goals in 85% of their last 20 matches.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Brazil U23 went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Brazil U23 VS Ecuador U23
1.5 Goals Scored 1.5
0.13 Goals Conceded 1.38
50% Over 1.5 88%
25% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Brazil U23

(Home)
11 Feb
Brazil U23
0 : 1
Argentina U23
08 Feb
Venezuela U23
1 : 2
Brazil U23
05 Feb
Brazil U23
0 : 1
Paraguay U23
01 Feb
Venezuela U23
3 : 1
Brazil U23
29 Jan
Brazil U23
2 : 1
Ecuador U23
Page 1 of 7

Ecuador U23

(Away)
29 Jan
Brazil U23
2 : 1
Ecuador U23
26 Jan
Bolivia U23
0 : 2
Ecuador U23
23 Jan
Ecuador U23
1 : 1
Venezuela U23
20 Jan
Ecuador U23
3 : 0
Colombia U23
17 Dec
Argentina U23
2 : 0
Ecuador U23
Page 1 of 4

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Brazil U23 4 3 0 1 6:4 9
2 Venezuela U23 4 2 2 0 8:5 8
3 Ecuador U23 4 2 1 1 7:3 7
4 Bolivia U23 4 1 1 2 5:6 4
5 Colombia U23 4 0 0 4 0:8 0
Promotion - Olympic Games (Final Group)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Argentina U23 4 2 2 0 11:4 8
2 Paraguay U23 4 2 1 1 7:6 7
3 Chile U23 4 2 0 2 3:7 6
4 Uruguay U23 4 1 1 2 9:8 4
5 Peru U23 4 1 0 3 1:6 3
Promotion - Olympic Games (Final Group)