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Brazil U23 vs Paraguay U23

World World

Olympic Games
Our Tip

Match Events

18'
Fernandez M.
28' Event
Endrick
Penalty Missed
36'
Arthur Chaves

AI Match Summary

Paraguay U23 in this Olympic Games matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Paraguay U23.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

73%
Brazil U23
15%
Draws
12%
Paraguay U23
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Brazil U23

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

73% / High Confidence
  • Brazil U23 have won more games recently than Paraguay U23.
  • Win probability leans Brazil U23's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Olympic Games form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Brazil U23 Clean Sheet 16%
Paraguay U23 Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Brazil U23 Paraguay U23
Matches Played 31 32
Wins 20 15
Draws 2 5
Losses 9 12
Goals Scored 1.77 1.56
Goals Conceded 0.94 1.47
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 5, 2024 Olympic Games
Brazil U23 vs Paraguay U23
0:1
Feb 1, 2020 Olympic Games
Brazil U23 vs Paraguay U23
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Brazil U23 Compare

Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Paraguay U23 Compare

Top Goalscorer Peralta F.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Brazil U23 84 / 100
Paraguay U23 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Brazil U23 Paraguay U23

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Brazil U23 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Brazil U23 found the back of the net in 84% of recent matches (31 games).

Paraguay U23's defensive record shows goals conceded in 69% of 32 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Paraguay U23 lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Brazil U23 VS Paraguay U23
1.14 Goals Scored 1.88
1 Goals Conceded 1.13
57% Over 1.5 75%
43% Over 2.5 38%
14% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Brazil U23

(Home)
11 Feb
Brazil U23
0 : 1
Argentina U23
08 Feb
Venezuela U23
1 : 2
Brazil U23
05 Feb
Brazil U23
0 : 1
Paraguay U23
01 Feb
Venezuela U23
3 : 1
Brazil U23
29 Jan
Brazil U23
2 : 1
Ecuador U23
Page 1 of 7

Paraguay U23

(Away)
18 Jul
Ukraine U23
2 : 2
Paraguay U23
13 Jul
USA U23
1 : 0
Paraguay U23
04 Jul
France U23
4 : 1
Paraguay U23
10 Jun
Argentina U23
2 : 0
Paraguay U23
08 Jun
Argentina U23
4 : 0
Paraguay U23
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Paraguay U23 3 2 1 0 6:3 7
2 Argentina U23 3 1 2 0 6:5 5
3 Brazil U23 3 1 0 2 2:3 3
4 Venezuela U23 3 0 1 2 3:6 1
Promotion - Olympic Games (Main)