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Brazil vs Morocco - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

World World

World Championship 2026 MetLife Stadium, East Rutherford, NJ
Our Tip

Match Events

21' Event
Saibari I.
Assist: Diaz B.
32' Event
Vinicius Junior
Assist: Bruno Guimaraes
37'
Casemiro

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this World Championship 2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Brazil
20%
Draws
40%
Morocco
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Morocco have won more games recently than Brazil.
  • 40% — that's where the model lands on Brazil taking it.
  • Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.8%
Brazil Clean Sheet 68%
Morocco Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Brazil Morocco
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 16 23
Draws 7 6
Losses 7 1
Goals Scored 1.93 2
Goals Conceded 0.97 0.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 13, 2026 World Championship
Brazil vs Morocco
1:1
Mar 25, 2023 Friendly International
Morocco vs Brazil
2:1
Mar 17, 2015 Friendly International
Morocco vs Brazil
0:0
Jun 16, 1998 World Championship
Brazil vs Morocco
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Brazil Compare

Top Goalscorer Vinicius Junior
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Morocco Compare

Top Goalscorer Saibari I.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Brazil 68 / 100
Morocco 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Brazil Morocco

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Brazil Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Brazil scored in 87% of their last 30 outings.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Brazil has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Morocco has conceded goals in 40% of their last 30 outings.

Scoring Trends

Brazil VS Morocco
2.13 Goals Scored 2
1 Goals Conceded 0.88
100% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Brazil

(Home)
03 Oct
India
0 : 4
Brazil
29 Sept
Australia
2 : 4
Brazil
25 Sept
Australia
1 : 1
Brazil
05 Jul
Brazil
1 : 2
Norway
29 Jun
Brazil
2 : 1
Japan
Page 1 of 6

Morocco

(Away)
04 Oct
Morocco
1 : 1
Mali
29 Sept
Lesotho
0 : 2
Morocco
25 Sept
Morocco
2 : 0
Gabon
09 Jul
France
2 : 0
Morocco
04 Jul
Canada
0 : 3
Morocco
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Mexico 3 3 0 0 6:0 9
2 South Africa 3 1 1 1 2:3 4
3 South Korea 3 1 0 2 2:3 3
4 Czech Republic 3 0 1 2 2:6 1
Promotion - World Championship 2026 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Switzerland 3 2 1 0 7:3 7
2 Canada 3 1 1 1 8:3 4
3 Bosnia & Herzegovina 3 1 1 1 5:6 4
4 Qatar 3 0 1 2 2:10 1
Promotion - World Championship 2026 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Brazil 3 2 1 0 7:1 7
2 Morocco 3 2 1 0 6:3 7
3 Scotland 3 1 0 2 1:4 3
4 Haiti 3 0 0 3 2:8 0
Promotion - World Championship 2026 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 USA 3 2 0 1 8:4 6
2 Australia 3 1 1 1 2:2 4
3 Paraguay 3 1 1 1 2:4 4
4 Turkey 3 1 0 2 3:5 3
Promotion - World Championship 2026 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 5)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Germany 3 2 0 1 10:4 6
2 Ivory Coast 3 2 0 1 4:2 6
3 Ecuador 3 1 1 1 2:2 4
4 Curacao 3 0 1 2 1:9 1
Promotion - World Championship 2026 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 6)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Netherlands 3 2 1 0 10:4 7
2 Japan 3 1 2 0 7:3 5
3 Sweden 3 1 1 1 7:7 4
4 Tunisia 3 0 0 3 2:12 0
Promotion - World Championship 2026 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 7)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Belgium 3 1 2 0 6:2 5
2 Egypt 3 1 2 0 5:3 5
3 Iran 3 0 3 0 3:3 3
4 New Zealand 3 0 1 2 4:10 1
Promotion - World Championship 2026 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 8)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Spain 3 2 1 0 5:0 7
2 Cape Verde 3 0 3 0 2:2 3
3 Uruguay 3 0 2 1 3:4 2
4 Saudi Arabia 3 0 2 1 1:5 2
Promotion - World Championship 2026 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 9)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 France 3 3 0 0 10:2 9
2 Norway 3 2 0 1 8:7 6
3 Senegal 3 1 0 2 8:6 3
4 Iraq 3 0 0 3 1:12 0
Promotion - World Championship 2026 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 10)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Argentina 3 3 0 0 8:1 9
2 Austria 3 1 1 1 6:6 4
3 Algeria 3 1 1 1 5:7 4
4 Jordan 3 0 0 3 3:8 0
Promotion - World Championship 2026 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 11)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Colombia 3 2 1 0 4:1 7
2 Portugal 3 1 2 0 6:1 5
3 D.R. Congo 3 1 1 1 4:3 4
4 Uzbekistan 3 0 0 3 2:11 0
Promotion - World Championship 2026 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 12)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 England 3 2 1 0 6:2 7
2 Croatia 3 2 0 1 5:5 6
3 Ghana 3 1 1 1 2:2 4
4 Panama 3 0 0 3 0:4 0
Promotion - World Championship 2026 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams