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Stadium Background

Brea vs Almudevar

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 17 2024/2025
Our Tip

Match Events

36' Event
Veintemilla G.
64' Event
Veintemilla G.
75' Event

AI Match Summary

Almudevar in this Tercera RFEF - Group 17 2024/2025 matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Almudevar.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

52%
Brea
20%
Draws
28%
Almudevar
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Brea

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

52% / Medium Confidence
  • Almudevar have won more games recently than Brea.
  • Model gives Brea a 52% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 71%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 27.200000000000003%
Brea Clean Sheet 68%
Almudevar Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Brea Almudevar
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 10 13
Draws 7 7
Losses 12 10
Goals Scored 0.86 1.17
Goals Conceded 1.07 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.23 0.85
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 23, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 17
Brea vs Almudevar
1:2
Oct 13, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 17
Almudevar vs Brea
2:1
Feb 7, 2021 Tercera RFEF - Group 17
Brea vs Almudevar
4:0
Nov 15, 2020 Tercera RFEF - Group 17
Almudevar vs Brea
1:1
May 17, 2020 Tercera RFEF - Group 17
Almudevar vs Brea
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Brea Compare

Avg xG / game 0.95
Avg xA / game 0.61

Almudevar Compare

Top Goalscorer Veintemilla G.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.47

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Brea 95 / 100
Almudevar 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Brea Almudevar

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Brea Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Brea has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Defensive concern: Almudevar conceded in 67% of 30 recent games.

H2H data points to 2.40 goals as a typical output.

Difficult form: Almudevar registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Brea VS Almudevar
1.33 Goals Scored 1.38
0.33 Goals Conceded 1.13
67% Over 1.5 75%
33% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Brea

(Home)
12 Sept
Brea
3 : 0
CF Illueca
06 Sept
CD Belchite 97
1 : 1
Brea
11 May
Brea
0 : 0
CD Caspe
04 May
Ebro
1 : 2
Brea
27 Apr
Brea
2 : 1
CD Cuarte
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Almudevar

(Away)
13 Sept
Fraga
3 : 1
Almudevar
06 Sept
Almudevar
1 : 0
SD Ejea
10 May
Almudevar
3 : 2
Huesca B
03 May
CD Cuarte
2 : 0
Almudevar
23 Apr
Almudevar
0 : 1
CF Illueca
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ebro 34 19 8 7 49:20 65
2 Huesca B 34 17 7 10 49:36 58
3 CD Cuarte 34 15 12 7 38:25 57
4 Atletico Monzon 34 16 9 9 52:35 57
5 Binefar 34 14 14 6 44:27 56
6 Zuera 34 13 10 11 38:29 49
7 Calamocha 34 11 14 9 41:37 47
8 Epila 34 12 11 11 31:30 47
9 Tamarite 34 12 10 12 41:43 46
10 Utrillas 34 10 11 13 29:39 41
11 CD Caspe 34 10 11 13 27:31 41
12 Andorra CF 34 8 16 10 34:38 40
13 Almudevar 34 9 12 13 30:36 39
14 CD Belchite 97 34 9 12 13 35:34 39
15 La Almunia 34 11 6 17 33:45 39
16 Fraga 34 9 10 15 38:53 37
17 Brea 34 9 8 17 26:43 35
18 Fuentes 34 9 5 20 20:54 32
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 17 2024/2025 (Play Offs)