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Brechin vs Buckie Thistle - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Scotland Scotland

Scottish Cup
Sat, Oct 3, 2026
3 - 2
02:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 3-2. The second leg ended 3-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Brechin
15%
Draws
0%
Buckie Thistle
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Brechin

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Brechin carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Brechin's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Brechin have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Brechin, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Brechin have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
Brechin Clean Sheet 12%
Buckie Thistle Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Brechin Buckie Thistle
Matches Played 32 29
Wins 20 13
Draws 3 3
Losses 9 13
Goals Scored 1.72 2.24
Goals Conceded 1.28 1.48
Expected Goals (xG) 1.81 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 3, 2026 Scottish Cup
Brechin vs Buckie Thistle
3:2
Feb 25, 2026 Highland League
Buckie Thistle vs Brechin
0:3
Aug 16, 2025 Highland League
Brechin vs Buckie Thistle
5:0
Feb 15, 2025 Highland League
Brechin vs Buckie Thistle
2:2
Aug 31, 2024 Highland League
Buckie Thistle vs Brechin
0:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Brechin 83 / 100
Buckie Thistle 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Brechin Buckie Thistle

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Brechin Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Brechin scored in 84% of their last 32 outings.

Games between these two average 3.80 goals.

Buckie Thistle's recent record shows 5 losses from the last 5 matches.

Buckie Thistle's defensive record shows goals conceded in 66% of 29 matches.

Scoring Trends

Brechin VS Buckie Thistle
2.25 Goals Scored 2.5
1 Goals Conceded 1.38
75% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 88%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Brechin

(Home)
03 Oct
Brechin
3 : 2
Buckie Thistle
26 Sept
Brechin
3 : 0
Dunipace
19 Sept
Brechin
0 : 1
Hill Of Beath
16 Sept
Stirling University
0 : 1
Brechin
12 Sept
Lochee United
1 : 2
Brechin
Page 1 of 7

Buckie Thistle

(Away)
07 Oct
Buckie Thistle
2 : 4
Lossiemouth
03 Oct
Brechin
3 : 2
Buckie Thistle
19 Sept
Buckie Thistle
1 : 3
Nairn County
16 Sept
Forres Mechanics
2 : 1
Buckie Thistle
12 Sept
Buckie Thistle
0 : 3
Huntly
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/128-finals
Boness United 3
Irvine Meadow 2
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Forfar Athletic -
Edinburgh City -
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Kelty Hearts -
Rothes 0
Brora Rangers 9
Cowdenbeath 4
Berwick 0
Newton Stewart 1
Johnstone Burgh 3
Civil Service Strollers 0
Formartine Utd 2
Brechin 3
Buckie Thistle 2
Strathspey Thistle 3
Dalbeattie Star 2
Lochee United 3
Inverurie Loco Works 2
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Spartans -
Haddington Athletic 0
Cumbernauld Colts 2
Kirkintilloch Rob Roy 1
Banks O' Dee 2
Hill Of Beath 2
Glasgow University 0
Musselburgh 2
Lossiemouth 1
Gala Fairydean Rovers 0
Largs Thistle 1
Dunipace 5
Preston Athletic 2
Dumbarton -
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Keith 2
Stonehaven 1
Nairn County 0
Gretna 2008 1
Cumnock Juniors 2
Auchinleck Talbot 0
Deveronvale 2
Troon FC 3
Caledonian Braves 4
Fraserburgh 0
Beith 0
Huntly 3
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Annan -
Forres Mechanics 0
Stirling University 1
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Elgin City -
Renfrew 3
Broxburn Athletic 2
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Stirling -
Bonnyton Thistle 2
East Stirlingshire 0
Clachnacuddin 2
Bonnyrigg Rose 0
Stranraer -
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Tayport FC 3
Wick Academy 0
Penicuik 3
Kilwinning Rangers 1
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Clyde -
Threave Rovers 3
Invergordon 2
Pollok 4
Albion Rovers 1
Linlithgow Rose 0
Clydebank FC 1
Tranent FC 3
Turriff United 1
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1/64-finals
Boness United -
Forfar Athletic -
Edinburgh City -
Kelty Hearts -
Brora Rangers -
Cowdenbeath -
Johnstone Burgh -
Formartine Utd -
Brechin -
Strathspey Thistle -
Lochee United -
Spartans -
Cumbernauld Colts -
Banks O' Dee -
Hill Of Beath -
Musselburgh -
Largs Thistle -
Dunipace -
Dumbarton -
Keith -
Gretna 2008 -
Cumnock Juniors -
Troon FC -
Caledonian Braves -
Huntly -
Annan -
Stirling University -
Elgin City -
Renfrew -
Stirling -
Bonnyton Thistle -
Clachnacuddin -
Stranraer -
Tayport FC -
Penicuik -
Clyde -
Threave Rovers -
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Semi-finals
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Final
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