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Bregalnica Stip vs Kamenica Sasa

North Macedonia North Macedonia

2. MFL 2025/2026 Gradski Stadion Štip
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Bregalnica Stip play Kamenica Sasa in the 2. MFL 2025/2026. Bregalnica Stip are favorites here. Recently, Bregalnica Stip averaged 2.79 goals scored and 0.62 conceded. Kamenica Sasa averaged 1.48 goals scored and 1.77 conceded. In past meetings, Bregalnica Stip won 4, Kamenica Sasa won 1, and they drew 0. Their last match on Mar 14, 2026 ended 3:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.88 for Bregalnica Stip and 0.63 for Kamenica Sasa. This points to a Bregalnica Stip double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

59%
Bregalnica Stip
15%
Draws
26%
Kamenica Sasa
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Bregalnica Stip

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Bregalnica Stip picked up more points recently compared to Kamenica Sasa.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.88 vs 0.63 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 61%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 90%
Over 1.5 Goals 76%
Over 2.5 Goals 61%
Over 3.5 Goals 37%
Over 4.5 Goals 18%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 43%
Bregalnica Stip Clean Sheet 29%
Kamenica Sasa Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 68%
Second Half Goal 72%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Bregalnica Stip Kamenica Sasa
Matches Played 34 31
Wins 25 10
Draws 5 7
Losses 4 14
Goals Scored 2.79 1.48
Goals Conceded 0.62 1.77
Expected Goals (xG) 2.25 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.38 1.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 14, 2026 2. MFL
Bregalnica Stip vs Kamenica Sasa
3:1
Feb 7, 2026 Club Friendly
Bregalnica Stip vs Kamenica Sasa
3:0
Feb 4, 2026 Club Friendly
Kamenica Sasa vs Bregalnica Stip
0:3
Sep 20, 2025 2. MFL
Kamenica Sasa vs Bregalnica Stip
1:3
Mar 1, 2025 2. MFL
Kamenica Sasa vs Bregalnica Stip
4:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bregalnica Stip 59 / 100
Kamenica Sasa 25 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Bregalnica Stip Kamenica Sasa

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Bregalnica Stip Win (1)
Secondary Pick Bregalnica Stip & Over 2.5
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +15.6%
1.96
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +11%
1.82
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Bregalnica Stip attacking → ← attacking Kamenica Sasa

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Bregalnica Stip scored in 82% of their last 34 games.

Kamenica Sasa let in goals in 71% of their last 31 matches.

Games between these two average 3.60 goals.

Bregalnica Stip went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Kamenica Sasa lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

80 Points in last 5 37
2.25 Goals expected (xG) 0.88
0.38 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.50

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Bregalnica Stip30225372:1771
2FK Skopje30232572:2071
3Shkendija Haracine30216367:1969
4Ohrid30215478:1768
5Belasica Strumica30184857:2158
6Osogovo30166853:2754
7Novaci30156947:3151
8Detonit Plackovica30147952:2849
9Kozuf Gevgelija30129950:2645
10Teteks301331456:4442
11Kamenica Sasa30991247:5336
12Vardar Negotino30642037:9522
13Sloga Vinica30432331:8415
14Prespa30502530:7615
15Pobeda30322519:11711
16Golemo Konjari30212717:1107