Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Breidablik vs IBV Vestmannaeyjar

Iceland Iceland

Besta deild karla Kópavogsvöllur, Kópavogur
Mon, Jul 27, 2026
VS
06:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Breidablik host IBV Vestmannaeyjar in the Besta deild karla. Neither defense has been convincing lately, which should mean goals. Breidablik have averaged 3.13 scored and 2.38 conceded recently, against IBV Vestmannaeyjar's 2.5 scored and 1.63 conceded. Past meetings favor Breidablik slightly — 3-0-2 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on May 3, 2026, ending 1:2. Model xG sits at 2.38 vs 2.44, favoring Breidablik. Over 2.5 looks the sharpest market angle here.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

50%
Breidablik
28%
Draws
22%
IBV Vestmannaeyjar
Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: Breidablik

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence
  • Breidablik carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Breidablik a 50% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 82%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 82%
Over 3.5 Goals 69%
Over 4.5 Goals 31%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 79.4%
Breidablik Clean Sheet 10%
IBV Vestmannaeyjar Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Breidablik IBV Vestmannaeyjar
Matches Played 30 27
Wins 15 8
Draws 7 7
Losses 8 12
Goals Scored 3.13 2.5
Goals Conceded 2.38 1.63
Expected Goals (xG) 3.13 2.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.38 1.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 3, 2026 Besta deild karla
IBV Vestmannaeyjar vs Breidablik
1:2
Mar 7, 2026 League Cup
IBV Vestmannaeyjar vs Breidablik
0:0
Sep 15, 2025 Besta deild karla
Breidablik vs IBV Vestmannaeyjar
1:1
Jun 15, 2025 Besta deild karla
IBV Vestmannaeyjar vs Breidablik
0:2
Jul 21, 2023 Besta deild karla
Breidablik vs IBV Vestmannaeyjar
3:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Breidablik 47 / 100
IBV Vestmannaeyjar 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Breidablik IBV Vestmannaeyjar

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick BRE Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Breidablik scored in 87% of their last 30 games.

IBV Vestmannaeyjar's defensive record shows goals conceded in 85% of 27 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.20 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Breidablik stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Breidablik VS IBV Vestmannaeyjar
3.13 Goals Scored 2.5
2.38 Goals Conceded 1.63
100% Over 1.5 88%
100% Over 2.5 75%
75% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Breidablik

(Home)
13 Jul
Breidablik
2 : 1
Keflavik
04 Jul
Akranes
1 : 2
Breidablik
28 Jun
Breidablik
3 : 0
Vikingur Reykjavik
25 Jun
Breidablik
1 : 4
Vikingur Reykjavik
21 Jun
Breidablik
3 : 1
KA Akureyri
Page 1 of 6

IBV Vestmannaeyjar

(Away)
19 Jul
IBV Vestmannaeyjar
2 : 2
KA Akureyri
12 Jul
KR Reykjavik
5 : 2
IBV Vestmannaeyjar
04 Jul
IBV Vestmannaeyjar
1 : 0
Valur
28 Jun
Hafnarfjordur
1 : 1
IBV Vestmannaeyjar
21 Jun
IBV Vestmannaeyjar
2 : 1
Stjarnan
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Vikingur Reykjavik15131149:1140
2KR Reykjavik16112358:3635
3Fram15103241:2833
4Breidablik1474334:2625
5Valur1661926:3219
6IBV Vestmannaeyjar1544726:3316
7Keflavik1444619:2616
8Stjarnan1543828:3615
9Akranes1443719:2815
10KA Akureyri1542924:3214
11Hafnarfjordur1425720:3111
12Thor Akureyri15321017:4211
Promotion - Besta deild karla (Championship Group)
Relegation - Besta deild karla (Relegation Group)