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Breidablik W vs Afturelding W

Iceland Iceland

League Cup Women 2022
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Breidablik W play Afturelding W in the League Cup Women 2022. Breidablik W are favorites here. Recently, Breidablik W averaged 3.36 goals scored and 1.38 conceded. Afturelding W averaged 1 goals scored and 2.28 conceded. In past meetings, Breidablik W won 5, Afturelding W won 0, and they drew 0. Their last match on Mar 4, 2023 ended 7:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 2.69 for Breidablik W and 0.63 for Afturelding W. This points to a Breidablik W double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

66%
Breidablik W
15%
Draws
19%
Afturelding W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Breidablik W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

92% / Very High Confidence
  • Breidablik W picked up more points recently compared to Afturelding W.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (2.69 vs 0.63 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 77%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 88%
Over 1.5 Goals 90%
Over 2.5 Goals 77%
Over 3.5 Goals 46%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 56%
Breidablik W Clean Sheet 29%
Afturelding W Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 81%
Second Half Goal 86%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Breidablik W Afturelding W
Matches Played 45 32
Wins 33 10
Draws 2 0
Losses 10 22
Goals Scored 3.36 1
Goals Conceded 1.38 2.28
Expected Goals (xG) 4.38 0.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.75 1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 4, 2023 League Cup Women
Breidablik W vs Afturelding W
7:0
Sep 18, 2022 Besta deild Women
Breidablik W vs Afturelding W
3:0
Jun 1, 2022 Besta deild Women
Afturelding W vs Breidablik W
1:6
Mar 25, 2022 League Cup Women
Breidablik W vs Afturelding W
3:0
Jun 25, 2021 Icelandic Cup Women
Breidablik W vs Afturelding W
5:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Breidablik W 65 / 100
Afturelding W 19 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Breidablik W Afturelding W

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Breidablik W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Breidablik W & Over 2.5
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +13.5%
1.72
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +8.6%
1.41
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Breidablik W attacking → ← attacking Afturelding W

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Breidablik W scored in 96% of their last 45 games.

Afturelding W let in goals in 84% of their last 31 matches.

Games between these two average 5.00 goals.

Breidablik W went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Afturelding W lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

101 Points in last 5 30
4.38 Goals expected (xG) 0.50
0.75 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.00