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Breno vs Arconatese

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group B 2024/2025
Our Tip

Match Events

23' Event
Bassini G.
36' Event
Verzeni N.
51' Event
Contessi A.

AI Match Summary

The Serie D - Group B 2024/2025 game between Breno and Arconatese finished 4-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Breno.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Breno
35%
Draws
32%
Arconatese
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

33% / Low Confidence
  • Breno carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Breno's way, sitting at 50%.
  • Regular Serie D - Group B 2024/2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 16.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 7%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Breno Clean Sheet 20%
Arconatese Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Breno Arconatese
Matches Played 32 28
Wins 9 6
Draws 8 9
Losses 15 13
Goals Scored 1.03 0.93
Goals Conceded 1.44 1.46
Expected Goals (xG) 0.69 1.21
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 4, 2025 Serie D - Group B
Breno vs Arconatese
4:1
Dec 22, 2024 Serie D - Group B
Arconatese vs Breno
0:0
Feb 5, 2023 Serie D - Group B
Breno vs Arconatese
2:3
Oct 2, 2022 Serie D - Group B
Arconatese vs Breno
5:0
Feb 6, 2022 Serie D - Group B
Breno vs Arconatese
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Breno Compare

Top Goalscorer Verzeni N.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Bassini G.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.53
Avg xA / game 0.34

Arconatese Compare

Top Goalscorer Luoni F.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.1
Avg xA / game 0.67

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Breno 49 / 100
Arconatese 24 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Breno Arconatese

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Breno Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 3.60 goals when they meet.

Arconatese has conceded goals in 79% of their last 28 outings.

Recent resilience: Breno stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Breno found the back of the net in 56% of recent matches (32 games).

Scoring Trends

Breno VS Arconatese
0.38 Goals Scored 0.8
1.63 Goals Conceded 1
63% Over 1.5 60%
38% Over 2.5 40%
13% Over 3.5 20%

Recent Form & Match History

Breno

(Home)
10 May
Breno
0 : 1
Pavia
03 May
Breno
2 : 1
Villa Valle
26 Apr
Varesina
2 : 2
Breno
19 Apr
Breno
0 : 2
Brusaporto
12 Apr
Real Calepina
1 : 1
Breno
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Arconatese

(Away)
12 Sept
Arconatese
1 : 1
Correggese
06 Sept
USD Casatese
2 : 1
Arconatese
13 Aug
Arconatese
2 : 2
AC Leon
04 May
Breno
4 : 1
Arconatese
27 Apr
Arconatese
2 : 1
Chievo
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ospitaletto 38 21 12 5 66:34 75
2 Pro Palazzolo 38 20 10 8 69:36 70
3 Desenzano Calvina 38 19 12 7 51:29 69
4 USD Casatese 38 19 11 8 58:34 68
5 Folgore Caratese 38 20 8 10 66:42 68
6 Varesina 38 17 13 8 61:44 64
7 Chievo 38 16 9 13 49:37 57
8 Pro Sesto 38 13 13 12 45:43 52
9 Club Milano 38 14 7 17 44:50 49
10 Sant'Angelo 38 11 15 12 41:41 48
11 Sondrio 38 12 11 15 39:51 47
12 Breno 38 11 14 13 42:53 47
13 Castellanzese 38 10 16 12 43:53 46
14 Vigasio 38 11 12 15 39:41 45
15 Sangiuliano City 38 11 12 15 39:46 45
16 Crema 38 11 11 16 48:57 44
17 Magenta 38 8 12 18 33:53 36
18 Fanfulla 38 6 14 18 28:57 32
19 Ciliverghe Mazzano 38 7 10 21 41:70 31
20 Arconatese 38 7 10 21 33:64 31
Promotion - Serie D - Group B 2024/2025 (Play Offs)