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Breno vs Vigor Carpaneto

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group D 2019/2020
Sun, Mar 29, 2020
VS
12:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Breno host Vigor Carpaneto in the Serie D - Group D 2019/2020. This one's hard to separate. Recent numbers: Breno at 1.03 goals for, 1.45 against; Vigor Carpaneto at 1.4 for, 1.5 against. Past meetings favor Breno slightly — 1-0-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Mar 29, 2020, ending 0:0. Model xG sits at 1.17 vs 1.31, favoring Vigor Carpaneto. The model calls this a Draw — both sides look evenly matched.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

20%
Breno
35%
Draws
45%
Vigor Carpaneto
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Vigor Carpaneto

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Breno have won more games recently than Vigor Carpaneto.
  • 36% — that's where the model lands on Breno taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Breno Clean Sheet 18%
Vigor Carpaneto Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Breno Vigor Carpaneto
Matches Played 31 20
Wins 9 7
Draws 7 6
Losses 15 7
Goals Scored 1.03 1.4
Goals Conceded 1.45 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.17 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 29, 2020 Serie D - Group D
Breno vs Vigor Carpaneto
0:0
Nov 17, 2019 Serie D - Group D
Vigor Carpaneto vs Breno
0:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Breno 36 / 100
Vigor Carpaneto 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Breno Vigor Carpaneto

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Vigor Carpaneto let in goals in 90% of their last 20 matches.

Games between these two average 1.50 goals.

Recent resilience: Breno stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Breno scored in 58% of their last 31 games.

Scoring Trends

Breno VS -
1.13 Goals Scored 0
1.63 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Breno

(Home)
10 May
Breno
0 : 1
Pavia
03 May
Breno
2 : 1
Villa Valle
26 Apr
Varesina
2 : 2
Breno
19 Apr
Breno
0 : 2
Brusaporto
12 Apr
Real Calepina
1 : 1
Breno
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Vigor Carpaneto

(Away)
16 Feb
Vigor Carpaneto
2 : 1
Correggese
09 Feb
Crema
1 : 2
Vigor Carpaneto
02 Feb
Vigor Carpaneto
2 : 1
Fiorenzuola
26 Jan
Mantova
1 : 1
Vigor Carpaneto
19 Jan
Vigor Carpaneto
1 : 1
Mezzolara
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