Sport Picks
Match Events
12'
12'
Wieffer M.
30'
30'
Gomez D.
45'
45'
Sub
Hickey A. In: Collins N.
Out: Hickey A.
AI Match Summary
Brighton in this Premier League 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 0-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Brighton.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
42%
20%
38%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Brentford
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
67%
/ Medium Confidence
- Form's been kind to Brentford lately — more wins on the board than Brighton.
- Model gives Brentford a 42% chance of winning this.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
Brentford Clean Sheet 16%
Brighton Clean Sheet 11%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Brentford | Brighton |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 27 |
| Wins | 11 | 9 |
| Draws | 10 | 7 |
| Losses | 9 | 11 |
| Goals Scored | 1.25 | 1.63 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.38 | 1.25 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.25 | 1.63 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.38 | 1.25 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Feb 21, 2026 Premier League
Brentford vs Brighton
0:2
Nov 22, 2025 Premier League
Brighton vs Brentford
2:1
Apr 19, 2025 Premier League
Brentford vs Brighton
4:2
Dec 27, 2024 Premier League
Brighton vs Brentford
0:0
Apr 3, 2024 Premier League
Brentford vs Brighton
0:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Brentford Compare
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63
Brighton Compare
Top Goalscorer Gomez D.
1 Goals Assists Leader Welbeck D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Brentford 41 / 100
Brighton 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Brentford Brighton
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Brentford scored in 63% of their last 30 games.
Brighton let in goals in 74% of their last 27 matches.
H2H data points to 2.20 goals as a typical output.
Solid form: Brentford remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Brentford VS Brighton
1.25 Goals Scored 1.63
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.25
75% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Brentford
(Home) 24 May
Liverpool
1 : 1 Brentford
17 May
Brentford
2 : 2 Crystal Palace
09 May
Manchester City
3 : 0 Brentford
02 May
Brentford
3 : 0 West Ham
27 Apr
Manchester United
2 : 1 Brentford
Page 1 of 6
17 May
Brentford
2 : 2 Crystal Palace
02 May
Brentford
3 : 0 West Ham
18 Apr
Brentford
0 : 0 Fulham
11 Apr
Brentford
2 : 2 Everton
16 Mar
Brentford
2 : 2 Wolves
Page 1 of 3
Brighton
(Away) 24 May
Brighton
0 : 3 Manchester United
17 May
Leeds
1 : 0 Brighton
09 May
Brighton
3 : 0 Wolves
02 May
Newcastle Utd
3 : 1 Brighton
21 Apr
Brighton
3 : 0 Chelsea
Page 1 of 6
17 May
Leeds
1 : 0 Brighton
02 May
Newcastle Utd
3 : 1 Brighton
18 Apr
Tottenham
2 : 2 Brighton
11 Apr
Burnley
0 : 2 Brighton
14 Mar
Sunderland
0 : 1 Brighton
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Arsenal | 38 | 26 | 7 | 5 | 71:27 | 85 |
| 2 | Manchester City | 38 | 23 | 9 | 6 | 77:35 | 78 |
| 3 | Manchester United | 38 | 20 | 11 | 7 | 69:50 | 71 |
| 4 | Aston Villa | 38 | 19 | 8 | 11 | 56:49 | 65 |
| 5 | Liverpool | 38 | 17 | 9 | 12 | 63:53 | 60 |
| 6 | Bournemouth | 38 | 13 | 18 | 7 | 58:54 | 57 |
| 7 | Sunderland | 38 | 14 | 12 | 12 | 42:48 | 54 |
| 8 | Brighton | 38 | 14 | 11 | 13 | 52:46 | 53 |
| 9 | Brentford | 38 | 14 | 11 | 13 | 55:52 | 53 |
| 10 | Chelsea | 38 | 14 | 10 | 14 | 58:52 | 52 |
| 11 | Fulham | 38 | 15 | 7 | 16 | 47:51 | 52 |
| 12 | Newcastle Utd | 38 | 14 | 7 | 17 | 53:55 | 49 |
| 13 | Everton | 38 | 13 | 10 | 15 | 47:50 | 49 |
| 14 | Leeds | 38 | 11 | 14 | 13 | 49:56 | 47 |
| 15 | Crystal Palace | 38 | 11 | 12 | 15 | 41:51 | 45 |
| 16 | Nottingham | 38 | 11 | 11 | 16 | 48:51 | 44 |
| 17 | Tottenham | 38 | 10 | 11 | 17 | 48:57 | 41 |
| 18 | West Ham | 38 | 10 | 9 | 19 | 46:65 | 39 |
| 19 | Burnley | 38 | 4 | 10 | 24 | 38:75 | 22 |
| 20 | Wolves | 38 | 3 | 11 | 24 | 27:68 | 20 |
Promotion - Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - Europa League (League phase)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League (League phase)
Relegation - Championship (Main)
