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Brentford vs Sunderland - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

England England

Premier League Brentford Community Stadium, London
Our Tip

Match Events

7'
Ballard D.
14'
Sadiki N.
17'
Sub
Collins N. In: Schuster J.
Out: Collins N.

AI Match Summary

The Premier League game between Brentford and Sunderland finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%
Brentford
35%
Draws
28%
Sunderland
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Brentford

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

37% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Sunderland come out ahead of Brentford on wins alone.
  • Model gives Brentford a 37% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Premier League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Brentford Clean Sheet 20%
Sunderland Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Brentford Sunderland
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 12 13
Draws 11 4
Losses 6 11
Goals Scored 1.86 1.32
Goals Conceded 1.21 1.43
Expected Goals (xG) 2.00 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 5, 2026 Premier League
Brentford vs Sunderland
1:1
Jan 7, 2026 Premier League
Brentford vs Sunderland
3:0
Aug 30, 2025 Premier League
Sunderland vs Brentford
2:1
Feb 17, 2018 Championship
Sunderland vs Brentford
0:2
Oct 21, 2017 Championship
Brentford vs Sunderland
3:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Brentford Compare

Top Goalscorer Janelt V.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 1

Sunderland Compare

Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Brentford 76 / 100
Sunderland 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Brentford Sunderland

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Brentford Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 3.20 goals.

Solid form: Brentford remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

Brentford found the back of the net in 76% of recent matches (29 games).

Sunderland let in goals in 68% of their last 28 matches.

Scoring Trends

Brentford VS Sunderland
3.25 Goals Scored 1.13
1 Goals Conceded 0.75
100% Over 1.5 63%
75% Over 2.5 25%
50% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Brentford

(Home)
18 Sept
Brentford
3 : 0
Chelsea
15 Sept
Reading
1 : 2
Brentford
12 Sept
Bournemouth
2 : 2
Brentford
05 Sept
Brentford
1 : 1
Sunderland
30 Aug
Leeds
1 : 1
Brentford
Page 1 of 6

Sunderland

(Away)
20 Sept
Manchester City
5 : 3
Sunderland
16 Sept
Sunderland
1 : 0
AZ Alkmaar
12 Sept
Sunderland
0 : 2
Arsenal
08 Sept
Sunderland
1 : 0
Hull City
05 Sept
Brentford
1 : 1
Sunderland
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Manchester City 5 5 0 0 13:5 15
2 Arsenal 5 4 0 1 8:4 12
3 Brighton 5 3 1 1 16:5 10
4 Brentford 5 2 3 0 10:4 9
5 Leeds 5 2 3 0 7:3 9
6 Liverpool 5 2 3 0 7:4 9
7 Everton 5 2 3 0 6:3 9
8 Hull City 5 2 2 1 6:4 8
9 Newcastle Utd 5 2 2 1 9:9 8
10 Chelsea 5 2 1 2 10:12 7
11 Ipswich 5 2 0 3 7:11 6
12 Manchester United 5 1 2 2 8:8 5
13 Nottingham 5 1 2 2 4:5 5
14 Sunderland 5 1 1 3 6:10 4
15 Crystal Palace 5 1 1 3 6:11 4
16 Aston Villa 5 1 1 3 4:9 4
17 Bournemouth 5 0 3 2 6:8 3
18 Coventry 5 1 0 4 1:10 3
19 Fulham 5 0 2 3 5:8 2
20 Tottenham 5 0 2 3 2:8 2
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - Europa League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Relegation - Championship 2027/2028 (Main)