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Brentwood vs Burgess Hill - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

England England

Isthmian League Premier Division
Our Tip

Match Events

45' Event
Sach B.
(Penalty)
83' Event
Mardell N.

AI Match Summary

The Isthmian League Premier Division game between Brentwood and Burgess Hill finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Brentwood.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Brentwood
15%
Draws
45%
Burgess Hill
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Burgess Hill

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

45% / Medium Confidence
  • Burgess Hill carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 45% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Isthmian League Premier Division form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.4%
Brentwood Clean Sheet 10%
Burgess Hill Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Brentwood Burgess Hill
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 13 14
Draws 3 6
Losses 13 8
Goals Scored 1.9 1.79
Goals Conceded 1.86 1.46
Expected Goals (xG) 1.81 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 8, 2026 Isthmian League Premier Division
Brentwood vs Burgess Hill
2:0
Apr 4, 2026 Isthmian League Premier Division
Burgess Hill vs Brentwood
3:2
Aug 23, 2025 Isthmian League Premier Division
Brentwood vs Burgess Hill
2:1
Feb 27, 2016 Isthmian League Premier Division
Burgess Hill vs Brentwood
1:1
Jan 23, 2016 Isthmian League Premier Division
Brentwood vs Burgess Hill
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Brentwood Compare

Top Goalscorer Mardell N.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.39
Avg xA / game 0.91

Burgess Hill Compare

Avg xG / game 1.82
Avg xA / game 1.11

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Brentwood 34 / 100
Burgess Hill 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Brentwood Burgess Hill

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Burgess Hill Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Burgess Hill has conceded goals in 86% of their last 28 outings.

Attacking prowess: Brentwood scored in 76% of their last 29 outings.

These sides typically produce 2.80 goals when they meet.

Brentwood has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Brentwood VS Burgess Hill
2.5 Goals Scored 2.13
1.88 Goals Conceded 1.13
88% Over 1.5 75%
88% Over 2.5 63%
63% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Brentwood

(Home)
10 Oct
Chatham
3 : 0
Brentwood
03 Oct
Brentwood
3 : 1
Dagenham & Red.
30 Sept
Whyteleafe
1 : 2
Brentwood
26 Sept
Brentwood
3 : 4
Hashtag
22 Sept
Brentwood
5 : 1
Maldon & Tiptree
Page 1 of 6

Burgess Hill

(Away)
10 Oct
Burgess Hill
1 : 1
Aveley
03 Oct
Burgess Hill
4 : 1
Maldon & Tiptree
26 Sept
Burgess Hill
6 : 2
Winslow United
19 Sept
Hanwell Town
2 : 1
Burgess Hill
15 Sept
Jersey Bulls
1 : 3
Burgess Hill
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Enfield Town 10 8 0 2 28:12 24
2 Welling 11 8 0 3 20:10 24
3 Dartford 11 8 0 3 18:12 24
4 Lewes 11 7 1 3 17:12 22
5 Carshalton 12 7 0 5 18:20 21
6 Ramsgate 11 6 1 4 27:15 19
7 Eastbourne Borough 10 6 1 3 19:11 19
8 St. Albans 9 5 2 2 18:13 17
9 Dulwich Hamlet 9 5 1 3 18:12 16
10 Chatham 9 5 0 4 19:13 15
11 Leatherhead 10 4 3 3 18:17 15
12 Burgess Hill 9 3 5 1 16:11 14
13 Cheshunt 11 3 5 3 11:14 14
14 Cray Wanderers 9 3 3 3 19:14 12
15 Aveley 11 3 2 6 18:19 11
16 Wingate & Finchley 9 3 2 4 14:20 11
17 Brentwood 10 3 0 7 15:19 9
18 Whyteleafe 11 2 3 6 13:21 9
19 Maldon & Tiptree 12 3 0 9 15:33 9
20 Three Bridges 10 2 2 6 19:29 8
21 Whitehawk 11 1 2 8 11:26 5
22 Stanway Rovers 10 1 1 8 8:26 4
Promotion - Isthmian League Premier Division (Play Offs)
Promotion - Isthmian League Premier Division (Play Offs)