Sport Picks

England

FA Trophy 2025/2026

Hornchurch

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Brentwood play Hornchurch in the FA Trophy 2025/2026. It looks like a close match. Recently, Brentwood averaged 1.88 goals scored and 1.55 conceded. Hornchurch averaged 1.69 goals scored and 1.31 conceded. In past meetings, Brentwood won 1, Hornchurch won 3, and they drew 1. Their last match on Nov 15, 2025 ended 0:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.81 for Brentwood and 2.00 for Hornchurch. This points to a Brentwood double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%

Brentwood

18%

Draws

40%

Hornchurch

Draw rate projection: 18% Favored: Brentwood

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

69% / Medium Confidence

Brentwood picked up more points recently compared to Hornchurch.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.81 vs 2.00 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 61%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 73%

Over 2.5 Goals 61%

Over 3.5 Goals 37%

Over 4.5 Goals 18%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 55%

Brentwood Clean Sheet 10%

Hornchurch Clean Sheet 10%

First Half Goal 66%

Second Half Goal 69%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Brentwood	Hornchurch
Matches Played	33	29
Wins	17	14
Draws	4	6
Losses	12	9
Goals Scored	1.88	1.69
Goals Conceded	1.55	1.31
Expected Goals (xG)	2.25	2.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.63	1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 15, 2025 FA Trophy

Brentwood vs Hornchurch

Possession: 57% - 48% Cards: 3 - 4

0:1

Jul 12, 2025 Club Friendly

Brentwood vs Hornchurch

Possession: 46% - 54% Cards: 1 - 1

0:2

Oct 16, 2010 FA Trophy

Hornchurch vs Brentwood

Possession: 57% - 46% Cards: 4 - 2

2:1

Sep 28, 2010 FA Cup

Brentwood vs Hornchurch

Possession: 41% - 51% Cards: 0 - 1

1:0

Sep 25, 2010 FA Cup

Hornchurch vs Brentwood

Possession: 54% - 51% Cards: 3 - 3

0:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Brentwood 40 / 100

Hornchurch 38 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Brentwood Hornchurch

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Brentwood or Draw (1X)

Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals

First Half Result Home Win (HT)

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +23.5%

2.94

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +11%

1.82

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Brentwood attacking → ← attacking Hornchurch

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Brentwood scored in 79% of their last 33 games.

Hornchurch let in goals in 66% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 1.40 goals.

Brentwood went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Hornchurch lost 0 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

55 Points in last 5 48

2.25 Goals expected (xG) 2.38

1.63 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.38