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Brera Strumica vs Belasica Strumica - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

North Macedonia North Macedonia

2. MFL
Sat, Oct 17, 2026
VS
03:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Brera Strumica host Belasica Strumica in the 2. MFL. Little to choose between these two on current form. Belasica Strumica have shipped 0.66 goals a game lately, while Brera Strumica have conceded 1.14 and scored 1.64. Past meetings favor Brera Strumica slightly — 3-1-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Jul 28, 2024, ending 2:1. Model xG sits at 1.63 vs 0.81, favoring Belasica Strumica. AI prediction: Home (1) Win — correct score tipped at 2-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
Brera Strumica
35%
Draws
23%
Belasica Strumica
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Brera Strumica

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

42% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Belasica Strumica come out ahead of Brera Strumica on wins alone.
  • Brera Strumica are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 63.4%
Brera Strumica Clean Sheet 20%
Belasica Strumica Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Brera Strumica Belasica Strumica
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 11 15
Draws 7 7
Losses 10 7
Goals Scored 1.64 1.41
Goals Conceded 1.14 0.66
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 0.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 28, 2024 Club Friendly
Brera Strumica vs Belasica Strumica
2:1
Jan 18, 2022 Club Friendly
Belasica Strumica vs Brera Strumica
0:4
May 9, 2021 1. MFL
Belasica Strumica vs Brera Strumica
0:2
Mar 7, 2021 1. MFL
Belasica Strumica vs Brera Strumica
0:0
Nov 7, 2020 1. MFL
Brera Strumica vs Belasica Strumica
1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Brera Strumica 85 / 100
Belasica Strumica 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Brera Strumica Belasica Strumica

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Brera Strumica Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Brera Strumica went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Brera Strumica found the back of the net in 64% of recent matches (28 games).

These sides typically produce 2.40 goals when they meet.

Belasica Strumica let in goals in 48% of their last 29 matches.

Scoring Trends

Brera Strumica VS Belasica Strumica
2.5 Goals Scored 1.5
0.13 Goals Conceded 0.75
50% Over 1.5 50%
38% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Brera Strumica

(Home)
20 Sept
Brera Strumica
7 : 0
Shkupi
06 Sept
Brera Strumica
1 : 0
Makedonija GP
02 Sept
Venec Negotino
0 : 8
Brera Strumica
29 Aug
Brera Strumica
2 : 1
Kamjani
22 Aug
Pelister
0 : 0
Brera Strumica
Page 1 of 6

Belasica Strumica

(Away)
19 Sept
Gorno Lisice
0 : 0
Belasica Strumica
13 Sept
Belasica Strumica
2 : 2
Teteks
09 Sept
Osogovo
1 : 3
Belasica Strumica
05 Sept
Kozuf Gevgelija
2 : 2
Belasica Strumica
30 Aug
Belasica Strumica
1 : 1
Detonit Plackovica
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ohrid 6 5 0 1 14:4 15
2 Pelister 6 4 2 0 9:1 14
3 Brera Strumica 5 4 1 0 12:1 13
4 Rabotnicki 5 4 0 1 6:2 12
5 Belasica Strumica 6 2 4 0 7:5 10
6 Kamjani 6 3 1 2 6:5 10
7 Novaci 6 2 1 3 5:5 7
8 Makedonija GP 6 2 1 3 3:4 7
9 Detonit Plackovica 6 2 1 3 6:8 7
10 Kozuf Gevgelija 6 2 1 3 6:11 7
11 Teteks 6 1 3 2 6:8 6
12 Gorno Lisice 6 1 1 4 5:6 4
13 Osogovo 6 0 2 4 2:6 2
14 Shkupi 6 0 0 6 1:22 0
Promotion - 1. MFL 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - 1. MFL (Relegation)