Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Brera Strumica vs Kozuf Gevgelija - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

World World

Club Friendly
Sat, Aug 1, 2026
VS
03:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Brera Strumica host Kozuf Gevgelija in the Club Friendly. This one's hard to separate. Brera Strumica have averaged 1.61 scored and 1.18 conceded recently, against Kozuf Gevgelija's 1.63 scored and 1.19 conceded. Past meetings favor Brera Strumica slightly — 2-0-3 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Aug 1, 2026, ending 0:0. Model xG sits at 2.00 vs 0.44, favoring Brera Strumica. Home (1) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Brera Strumica
30%
Draws
19%
Kozuf Gevgelija
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Brera Strumica

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Kozuf Gevgelija have won more games recently than Brera Strumica.
  • 51% — that's where the model lands on Brera Strumica taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 64.2%
Brera Strumica Clean Sheet 20%
Kozuf Gevgelija Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Brera Strumica Kozuf Gevgelija
Matches Played 28 27
Wins 10 11
Draws 8 4
Losses 10 12
Goals Scored 1.61 1.63
Goals Conceded 1.18 1.19
Expected Goals (xG) 2.00 0.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 1, 2026 Club Friendly
Brera Strumica vs Kozuf Gevgelija
0:0
Aug 7, 2024 Club Friendly
Kozuf Gevgelija vs Brera Strumica
1:1
Sep 20, 2023 Macedonian Cup
Kozuf Gevgelija vs Brera Strumica
0:2
Feb 9, 2023 Club Friendly
Brera Strumica vs Kozuf Gevgelija
7:0
Feb 20, 2021 Club Friendly
Kozuf Gevgelija vs Brera Strumica
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Brera Strumica 85 / 100
Kozuf Gevgelija 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Brera Strumica Kozuf Gevgelija

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Brera Strumica Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Brera Strumica went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Brera Strumica's goal record stands at 64% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Kozuf Gevgelija has conceded goals in 63% of their last 27 outings.

These sides typically produce 2.60 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Brera Strumica VS Kozuf Gevgelija
2.5 Goals Scored 0.75
0.13 Goals Conceded 1.5
50% Over 1.5 50%
38% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Brera Strumica

(Home)
10 Oct
Ohrid
2 : 2
Brera Strumica
20 Sept
Brera Strumica
7 : 0
Shkupi
06 Sept
Brera Strumica
1 : 0
Makedonija GP
02 Sept
Venec Negotino
0 : 8
Brera Strumica
29 Aug
Brera Strumica
2 : 1
Kamjani
Page 1 of 6

Kozuf Gevgelija

(Away)
10 Oct
Detonit Plackovica
1 : 1
Kozuf Gevgelija
19 Sept
Kozuf Gevgelija
0 : 1
Novaci
13 Sept
Osogovo
0 : 1
Kozuf Gevgelija
09 Sept
Kozuf Gevgelija
0 : 1
FK Skopje
05 Sept
Kozuf Gevgelija
2 : 2
Belasica Strumica
Page 1 of 6