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Brescia vs Cesena - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Italy Italy

Serie B 2024/2025 Stadio Mario Rigamonti, Brescia
Our Tip

Match Events

3'
Jallow A.
24'
Mangraviti M.
32'
Bertagnoli M.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Serie B 2024/2025 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

35%
Brescia
35%
Draws
30%
Cesena
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Cesena have won more games recently than Brescia.
  • Brescia are the model's pick here, at 42%.
  • Regular Serie B 2024/2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 27%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Brescia Clean Sheet 20%
Cesena Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Brescia Cesena
Matches Played 31 32
Wins 7 9
Draws 15 12
Losses 9 11
Goals Scored 1.23 1.31
Goals Conceded 1.13 1.41
Expected Goals (xG) 1.42 0.99
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 8, 2025 Serie B
Brescia vs Cesena
1:1
Oct 26, 2024 Serie B
Cesena vs Brescia
2:0
Apr 21, 2018 Serie B
Brescia vs Cesena
0:0
Nov 27, 2017 Serie B
Cesena vs Brescia
1:0
Apr 4, 2017 Serie B
Cesena vs Brescia
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Brescia Compare

Top Goalscorer Adorni D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.09
Avg xA / game 0.71

Cesena Compare

Avg xG / game 0.9
Avg xA / game 0.55

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Brescia 42 / 100
Cesena 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Brescia Cesena

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Brescia scored in 71% of their last 31 games.

Cesena has conceded goals in 69% of their last 32 outings.

Solid form: Brescia remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

These sides typically produce 1.40 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

- VS Cesena
0 Goals Scored 0.88
0 Goals Conceded 1.63
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Brescia

(Home)
13 May
Brescia
2 : 1
Reggiana
09 May
Modena
2 : 2
Brescia
04 May
Brescia
0 : 0
Juve Stabia
01 May
Cittadella
0 : 1
Brescia
25 Apr
Brescia
1 : 2
Pisa
Page 1 of 7

Cesena

(Away)
18 Sept
Juve Stabia
1 : 1
Cesena
12 Sept
Cesena
2 : 2
Cremonese
06 Sept
Cesena
1 : 1
Mantova
29 Aug
Entella
1 : 2
Cesena
23 Aug
Cesena
1 : 1
Sampdoria
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sassuolo 38 25 7 6 78:38 82
2 Pisa 38 23 7 8 64:36 76
3 Spezia 38 17 15 6 59:33 66
4 Cremonese 38 16 13 9 62:44 61
5 Juve Stabia 38 14 13 11 42:41 55
6 Catanzaro 38 11 20 7 51:45 53
7 Cesena 38 14 11 13 46:47 53
8 Palermo 38 14 10 14 52:43 52
9 Bari 38 10 18 10 41:40 48
10 Sudtirol 38 12 10 16 50:57 46
11 Modena 38 10 15 13 48:50 45
12 Carrarese 38 11 12 15 39:49 45
13 Reggiana 38 11 11 16 42:52 44
14 Mantova 38 10 14 14 47:56 44
15 Frosinone 38 9 16 13 37:50 43
16 Salernitana 38 11 9 18 37:47 42
17 Sampdoria 38 8 17 13 38:49 41
18 Brescia 38 9 16 13 42:48 39
19 Cittadella 38 10 9 19 30:56 39
20 Cosenza 38 7 13 18 32:56 30
Promotion - Serie A 2025/2026 (Main)
Promotion - Serie B 2024/2025 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie B 2024/2025 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie B 2024/2025 (Play Out)