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Brest vs Nice - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

France France

Ligue 1 Stade Francis-Le Blé, Brest
Fri, Oct 23, 2026
VS
06:45 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Brest host Nice in the Ligue 1. This one's hard to separate. Brest have averaged 1.32 scored and 1.71 conceded recently, against Nice's 1 scored and 1.23 conceded. Past meetings favor Nice slightly — 1-2-2 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Feb 1, 2026, ending 2:2. The numbers (1.25 xG vs 1.06) point toward Nice. Home (1) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Brest
35%
Draws
32%
Nice
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

33% / Low Confidence
  • Nice have won more games recently than Brest.
  • Model gives Brest a 33% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
Brest Clean Sheet 20%
Nice Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Brest Nice
Matches Played 28 30
Wins 6 7
Draws 11 12
Losses 11 11
Goals Scored 1.32 1
Goals Conceded 1.71 1.23
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 1, 2026 Ligue 1
Nice vs Brest
2:2
Sep 20, 2025 Ligue 1
Brest vs Nice
4:1
May 17, 2025 Ligue 1
Nice vs Brest
6:0
Nov 2, 2024 Ligue 1
Brest vs Nice
0:1
Feb 4, 2024 Ligue 1
Brest vs Nice
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Brest 40 / 100
Nice 27 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Brest Nice

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Brest Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 3.20 goals when they meet.

Brest's goal record stands at 71% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Defensive concern: Nice conceded in 63% of 30 recent games.

Brest went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Brest VS Nice
1.63 Goals Scored 0.38
1.75 Goals Conceded 0.88
88% Over 1.5 38%
75% Over 2.5 25%
50% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Brest

(Home)
03 Oct
Brest
2 : 2
Monza
20 Sept
Auxerre
2 : 1
Brest
13 Sept
Brest
0 : 1
PSG
05 Sept
Le Havre
1 : 2
Brest
29 Aug
Brest
2 : 2
Toulouse
Page 1 of 6

Nice

(Away)
20 Sept
Nice
2 : 1
Lille
12 Sept
Auxerre
1 : 0
Nice
05 Sept
Nice
1 : 1
Le Mans
30 Aug
Paris FC
3 : 0
Nice
22 Aug
Nice
0 : 0
Lorient
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Monaco 5 4 1 0 8:3 13
2 Lyon 6 3 2 1 11:4 11
3 Paris FC 5 3 2 0 8:3 11
4 Lille 5 3 1 1 8:4 10
5 Rennes 5 3 1 1 8:9 10
6 PSG 5 2 2 1 8:7 8
7 Lens 6 2 1 3 11:10 7
8 Angers 5 2 1 2 6:5 7
9 Strasbourg 5 2 1 2 10:10 7
10 Le Mans 5 1 3 1 9:9 6
11 Auxerre 5 2 0 3 7:12 6
12 Brest 5 1 2 2 7:8 5
13 Lorient 5 1 2 2 5:6 5
14 Toulouse 5 1 2 2 7:9 5
15 Nice 5 1 2 2 3:6 5
16 Troyes 5 1 1 3 4:11 4
17 Marseille 5 1 0 4 7:8 3
18 Le Havre 5 0 2 3 4:7 2
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Ligue 1 (Relegation - Play Offs)
Relegation - Ligue 2 2027/2028 (Main)