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Brest vs PSG - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

France France

Ligue 1 Stade Francis-Le Blé, Brest
0 - 1
FT
Our Tip

Match Events

5' Event
Torres F.
Assist: Dembele O.
30'
Doumbia K.
39'
Sub
Hakimi A. In: Ruiz F.
Out: Hakimi A.

AI Match Summary

PSG in this Ligue 1 matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored PSG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

20%
Brest
20%
Draws
60%
PSG
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: PSG

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

60% / High Confidence
  • PSG have won more games recently than Brest.
  • Model gives PSG a 60% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Ligue 1 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • PSG have won 5 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Brest Clean Sheet 10%
PSG Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Brest PSG
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 7 18
Draws 11 5
Losses 11 5
Goals Scored 1.45 2.18
Goals Conceded 1.66 1.18
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 2.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 13, 2026 Ligue 1
Brest vs PSG
0:1
May 10, 2026 Ligue 1
PSG vs Brest
1:0
Oct 25, 2025 Ligue 1
Brest vs PSG
0:3
Feb 19, 2025 Champions League
PSG vs Brest
7:0
Feb 11, 2025 Champions League
Brest vs PSG
0:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Brest Compare

Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

PSG Compare

Top Goalscorer Torres F.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.94
Avg xA / game 1.18

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Brest 22 / 100
PSG 47 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Brest PSG

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick PSG Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 3:8
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Brest found the back of the net in 76% of recent matches (29 games).

PSG's defensive record shows goals conceded in 71% of 28 matches.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Solid form: Brest remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Brest VS PSG
1.75 Goals Scored 2.75
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.25
88% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 88%
38% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Brest

(Home)
23 Oct
Brest
1 : 2
Nice
17 Oct
Lille
1 : 1
Brest
10 Oct
Brest
5 : 1
Angers
03 Oct
Brest
2 : 2
Monza
20 Sept
Auxerre
2 : 1
Brest
Page 1 of 6

PSG

(Away)
26 Oct
PSG
2 : 0
Lyon
20 Oct
PSG
4 : 2
Barcelona
17 Oct
Strasbourg
1 : 3
PSG
14 Oct
Manchester City
2 : 4
PSG
10 Oct
PSG
3 : 1
Le Mans
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 PSG 8 5 2 1 16:9 17
2 Rennes 8 5 1 2 18:14 16
3 Lille 8 4 3 1 11:6 15
4 Monaco 8 4 3 1 11:7 15
5 Lyon 8 4 2 2 13:7 14
6 Paris FC 8 4 2 2 13:9 14
7 Lens 8 4 1 3 16:12 13
8 Marseille 8 4 0 4 18:13 12
9 Lorient 8 3 3 2 7:6 12
10 Nice 8 3 2 3 8:10 11
11 Toulouse 8 2 4 2 12:11 10
12 Auxerre 8 3 1 4 12:18 10
13 Brest 8 2 3 3 14:12 9
14 Angers 8 2 2 4 9:15 8
15 Le Mans 8 1 4 3 11:16 7
16 Strasbourg 8 2 1 5 12:18 7
17 Troyes 8 1 2 5 5:16 5
18 Le Havre 8 0 2 6 8:15 2
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Ligue 1 (Relegation - Play Offs)
Relegation - Ligue 2 2027/2028 (Main)