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Brest vs PSG

France France

Ligue 1 Stade Francis-Le Blé, Brest
Sun, Sep 13, 2026
VS
06:45 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Brest host PSG in the Ligue 1. History leans heavily one way in this fixture. Brest have averaged 1.34 scored and 1.72 conceded recently, against PSG's 2.03 scored and 1.18 conceded. Head-to-head, Brest have won 0 to PSG's 5, with 0 draws. They last met on May 10, 2026, ending 1:0. Model xG sits at 1.63 vs 1.63, favoring PSG. AI prediction: Home (1) Win — correct score tipped at 2-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

35%
Brest
35%
Draws
30%
PSG
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • PSG have won more games recently than Brest.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • Regular Ligue 1 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • PSG have won 5 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Brest Clean Sheet 14%
PSG Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Brest PSG
Matches Played 29 33
Wins 7 19
Draws 10 6
Losses 12 8
Goals Scored 1.34 2.03
Goals Conceded 1.72 1.18
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 10, 2026 Ligue 1
PSG vs Brest
1:0
Oct 25, 2025 Ligue 1
Brest vs PSG
0:3
Feb 19, 2025 Champions League
PSG vs Brest
7:0
Feb 11, 2025 Champions League
Brest vs PSG
0:3
Feb 1, 2025 Ligue 1
Brest vs PSG
2:5

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Brest 30 / 100
PSG 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Brest PSG

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Brest Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 4.20 goals per match.

Brest's goal record stands at 76% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Defensive concern: PSG conceded in 64% of 33 recent games.

Solid form: Brest remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Brest VS PSG
1.63 Goals Scored 1.25
2 Goals Conceded 1.63
100% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 75%
63% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Brest

(Home)
05 Sept
Le Havre
1 : 2
Brest
29 Aug
Brest
2 : 2
Toulouse
22 Aug
Le Mans
2 : 2
Brest
16 Aug
Nottingham
2 : 0
Brest
08 Aug
Brest
2 : 2
Venezia
Page 1 of 6

PSG

(Away)
04 Sept
PSG
1 : 2
Monaco
28 Aug
Lille
2 : 2
PSG
23 Aug
Rennes
2 : 2
PSG
16 Aug
Lens
1 : 0
PSG
12 Aug
PSG
2 : 1
Aston Villa
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Monaco 3 3 0 0 5:1 9
2 Lyon 3 2 1 0 6:2 7
3 Lille 3 2 1 0 5:2 7
4 Paris FC 2 1 1 0 3:0 4
5 Rennes 2 1 1 0 5:4 4
6 Troyes 2 1 1 0 2:1 4
7 Lens 2 1 0 1 6:4 3
8 Marseille 2 1 0 1 4:2 3
9 Angers 2 1 0 1 3:3 3
10 Strasbourg 2 1 0 1 2:5 3
11 Brest 2 0 2 0 4:4 2
12 PSG 3 0 2 1 5:6 2
13 Le Mans 2 0 1 1 4:5 1
14 Le Havre 2 0 1 1 1:2 1
15 Lorient 2 0 1 1 1:2 1
16 Toulouse 3 0 1 2 2:5 1
17 Nice 2 0 1 1 0:3 1
18 Auxerre 3 0 0 3 4:11 0
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Ligue 1 (Relegation - Play Offs)
Relegation - Ligue 2 2027/2028 (Main)