Sport Picks
Match Events
1'
1'
Bearzotti E.
4'
4'
Liberati F.
37'
37'
Ciriello G.
AI Match Summary
The Serie D - Group C 2024/2025 game between Brian Lignano and Caravaggio finished 2-2.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
30%
20%
50%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Caravaggio
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
20%
/ Low Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Brian Lignano come out ahead of Caravaggio on wins alone.
- 36% — that's where the model lands on Brian Lignano taking it.
- Regular Serie D - Group C 2024/2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
Brian Lignano Clean Sheet 20%
Caravaggio Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Brian Lignano | Caravaggio |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 36 | 30 |
| Wins | 17 | 6 |
| Draws | 8 | 6 |
| Losses | 11 | 18 |
| Goals Scored | 1.78 | 1.13 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.17 | 1.67 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.35 | 0.94 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Apr 13, 2025 Serie D - Group C
Brian Lignano vs Caravaggio
2:2
Dec 1, 2024 Serie D - Group C
Caravaggio vs Brian Lignano
2:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Brian Lignano Compare
Top Goalscorer Bearzotti E.
1 Goals Assists Leader Ciriello G.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.04
Avg xA / game 0.68
Caravaggio Compare
Top Goalscorer Liberati F.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.52
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Brian Lignano 36 / 100
Caravaggio 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Brian Lignano Caravaggio
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: Brian Lignano scored in 83% of their last 36 outings.
Defensive concern: Caravaggio conceded in 87% of 30 recent games.
Historical meetings average 3.50 goals per match.
Solid form: Brian Lignano remains unbeaten in 1 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Brian Lignano VS -
1.5 Goals Scored 0
0.88 Goals Conceded 0
50% Over 1.5 0%
38% Over 2.5 0%
38% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
Brian Lignano
(Home) 20 Sept
Brian Lignano
3 : 5 Clodiense
16 Sept
Calcio San Dona
2 : 1 Brian Lignano
13 Sept
Virtus Bolzano
2 : 1 Brian Lignano
06 Sept
Brian Lignano
0 : 2 Este
03 May
Adriese
0 : 4 Brian Lignano
Page 1 of 8
20 Sept
Brian Lignano
3 : 5 Clodiense
06 Sept
Brian Lignano
0 : 2 Este
26 Apr
Brian Lignano
1 : 1 Bassano Virtus
11 Apr
Brian Lignano
4 : 2 Portogruaro
29 Mar
Brian Lignano
1 : 0 Este
Page 1 of 4
Caravaggio
(Away) 17 May
Caravaggio
2 : 3 Ciserano-Bergamo
04 May
Caravaggio
0 : 3 Luparense FC
27 Apr
Real Calepina
0 : 1 Caravaggio
17 Apr
Caravaggio
0 : 0 Brusaporto
13 Apr
Brian Lignano
2 : 2 Caravaggio
Page 1 of 6
27 Apr
Real Calepina
0 : 1 Caravaggio
13 Apr
Brian Lignano
2 : 2 Caravaggio
30 Mar
Dolomiti Bellunesi
1 : 0 Caravaggio
09 Mar
Montecchio Maggiore
1 : 1 Caravaggio
16 Feb
Este
3 : 1 Caravaggio
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Dolomiti Bellunesi | 38 | 23 | 9 | 6 | 65:39 | 78 |
| 2 | Treviso | 38 | 22 | 8 | 8 | 59:32 | 74 |
| 3 | Villa Valle | 38 | 19 | 10 | 9 | 62:44 | 67 |
| 4 | Adriese | 38 | 18 | 12 | 8 | 55:31 | 66 |
| 5 | Mestre | 38 | 19 | 7 | 12 | 40:34 | 64 |
| 6 | Campodarsego | 38 | 15 | 17 | 6 | 52:36 | 62 |
| 7 | Brusaporto | 38 | 16 | 12 | 10 | 46:37 | 60 |
| 8 | Luparense FC | 38 | 13 | 17 | 8 | 48:36 | 56 |
| 9 | Real Calepina | 38 | 15 | 10 | 13 | 44:44 | 55 |
| 10 | Cjarlins Muzane | 38 | 15 | 10 | 13 | 50:49 | 55 |
| 11 | Este | 38 | 14 | 12 | 12 | 50:50 | 54 |
| 12 | Brian Lignano | 38 | 12 | 12 | 14 | 45:49 | 48 |
| 13 | Calvi Noale | 38 | 12 | 11 | 15 | 44:44 | 47 |
| 14 | Bassano Virtus | 38 | 11 | 14 | 13 | 43:36 | 47 |
| 15 | Portogruaro | 38 | 10 | 16 | 12 | 32:36 | 46 |
| 16 | Caravaggio | 38 | 11 | 8 | 19 | 42:54 | 41 |
| 17 | Ciserano-Bergamo | 38 | 9 | 13 | 16 | 42:55 | 40 |
| 18 | Chions | 38 | 6 | 12 | 20 | 35:59 | 30 |
| 19 | Montecchio Maggiore | 38 | 6 | 9 | 23 | 32:55 | 27 |
| 20 | Lavis | 38 | 3 | 3 | 32 | 25:91 | 12 |
Promotion - Serie D - Group C 2024/2025 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group C 2024/2025 (Play Out)
