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Brighton U21 vs West Ham U21

England England

Premier League 2 Elite Football Performance Centre, Lancing
Our Tip

Match Events

33'
Keogh S.
35'
Atom N.
35' Event
Mackley C.
Assist: Robertson J.

AI Match Summary

This match ends 3-0, with Brighton U21 advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Brighton U21
6%
Draws
4%
West Ham U21
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Brighton U21

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • West Ham U21 carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 90% — that's where the model lands on Brighton U21 taking it.
  • West Ham U21 arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor West Ham U21, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 83%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 83%
Over 3.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
Brighton U21 Clean Sheet 11%
West Ham U21 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Brighton U21 West Ham U21
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 11 14
Draws 8 5
Losses 11 10
Goals Scored 2.5 2.5
Goals Conceded 1.13 2.13
Expected Goals (xG) 2.50 2.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.13 2.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 4, 2026 Premier League 2
Brighton U21 vs West Ham U21
3:0
Sep 26, 2025 Premier League 2
West Ham U21 vs Brighton U21
3:3
Aug 16, 2024 Premier League 2
Brighton U21 vs West Ham U21
0:2
Mar 15, 2024 Premier League 2
Brighton U21 vs West Ham U21
1:4
Feb 23, 2024 Premier League International Cup
West Ham U21 vs Brighton U21
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Brighton U21 Compare

Top Goalscorer Mackley C.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Nti S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.92
Avg xA / game 1.25

West Ham U21 Compare

Avg xG / game 2.27
Avg xA / game 1.39

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Brighton U21 83 / 100
West Ham U21 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Brighton U21 West Ham U21

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick BRI Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Brighton U21 scored in 80% of their last 30 games.

These sides typically produce 3.80 goals when they meet.

Brighton U21 has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Defensive concern: West Ham U21 conceded in 76% of 29 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Brighton U21 VS West Ham U21
2.5 Goals Scored 2.5
1.13 Goals Conceded 2.13
88% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 100%
50% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Brighton U21

(Home)
16 May
Brighton U21
1 : 0
Manchester United U21
08 May
Tottenham U21
1 : 3
Brighton U21
04 May
Brighton U21
3 : 0
West Ham U21
24 Apr
Ipswich U21
1 : 2
Brighton U21
03 Apr
Brighton U21
0 : 0
Aston Villa U21
Page 1 of 6

West Ham U21

(Away)
04 May
Brighton U21
3 : 0
West Ham U21
24 Apr
Fulham U21
2 : 3
West Ham U21
04 Apr
Tottenham U21
3 : 2
West Ham U21
20 Mar
Blackburn U21
2 : 4
West Ham U21
17 Mar
Boreham Wood
3 : 2
West Ham U21
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/8-finals
Chelsea U211
Middlesbrough U210
Tottenham U211
Leicester U210
Ipswich U211
Brighton U212
Fulham U212
West Ham U213
Southampton U213
Aston Villa U214
Manchester City U213
Arsenal U211
Liverpool U213
Crystal Palace U214
Manchester United U213
Sunderland U212
Quarter-finals
Chelsea U211
Tottenham U213
Brighton U213
West Ham U210
Aston Villa U212
Manchester City U213
Crystal Palace U210
Manchester United U212
Semi-finals
Tottenham U211
Brighton U213
Manchester City U213
Manchester United U214
Final
Brighton U211
Manchester United U210