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Brighton vs AS Roma - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

World World

Club Friendly Amex Stadium, Brighton
Our Tip

Match Events

29' Event
Rutter G.
Assist: Gomez D.
40' Event
Ayari Y.
46'
Sub
El Aynaoui N. In: Mannini M.
Out: El Aynaoui N.

AI Match Summary

Brighton in this Club Friendly matchup, with the score ending 3-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Brighton.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

52%
Brighton
20%
Draws
28%
AS Roma
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Brighton

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

52% / Medium Confidence
  • Brighton have won more games recently than AS Roma.
  • Brighton are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Brighton here — 2 wins from the last 3 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.8%
Brighton Clean Sheet 16%
AS Roma Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Brighton AS Roma
Matches Played 26 28
Wins 18 13
Draws 3 8
Losses 5 7
Goals Scored 2.31 2.11
Goals Conceded 0.85 1.46
Expected Goals (xG) 2.13 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 8, 2026 Club Friendly
Brighton vs AS Roma
3:0
Mar 14, 2024 Europa League
Brighton vs AS Roma
1:0
Mar 7, 2024 Europa League
AS Roma vs Brighton
4:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Brighton Compare

Top Goalscorer Ayari Y.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Rutter G.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.64
Avg xA / game 1.06

AS Roma Compare

Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Brighton 84 / 100
AS Roma 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Brighton AS Roma

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Brighton Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Brighton scored in 85% of their last 26 outings.

Brighton went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Defensive concern: AS Roma conceded in 61% of 28 recent games.

These sides typically produce 2.67 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Brighton VS AS Roma
3.25 Goals Scored 2
0.88 Goals Conceded 1
100% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 50%
63% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Brighton

(Home)
18 Oct
Brighton
5 : 0
Crystal Palace
15 Oct
Brighton
4 : 0
FK Kauno Zalgiris
10 Oct
Sunderland
0 : 2
Brighton
19 Sept
Brighton
3 : 0
Arsenal
16 Sept
Manchester United
2 : 3
Brighton
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AS Roma

(Away)
17 Oct
AS Roma
2 : 0
Genoa
14 Oct
AS Roma
3 : 4
Real Madrid
11 Oct
Como
0 : 0
AS Roma
19 Sept
AS Roma
2 : 2
Inter
14 Sept
Torino
0 : 2
AS Roma
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