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Brighton vs Bologna - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

World World

Club Friendly
Our Tip

Match Events

46'
Sub
Dovbyk A. In: Piccoli R.
Out: Dovbyk A.
59' Event
Hinshelwood J.
63'
Sub
Orsolini R. In: Rowe J.
Out: Orsolini R.

AI Match Summary

Brighton in this Club Friendly matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Brighton.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Brighton
20%
Draws
33%
Bologna
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Brighton

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Brighton lately — more wins on the board than Bologna.
  • Model gives Brighton a 47% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65.4%
Brighton Clean Sheet 20%
Bologna Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Brighton Bologna
Matches Played 26 28
Wins 16 11
Draws 4 5
Losses 6 12
Goals Scored 2.15 1.25
Goals Conceded 0.88 1.57
Expected Goals (xG) 2.00 0.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 15, 2026 Club Friendly
Brighton vs Bologna
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Brighton Compare

Top Goalscorer Hinshelwood J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 1

Bologna Compare

Avg xG / game 0.63
Avg xA / game 0.38

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Brighton 76 / 100
Bologna 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Brighton Bologna

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Brighton Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Brighton scored in 77% of their last 26 outings.

Bologna has conceded goals in 79% of their last 28 outings.

Solid form: Brighton remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Games between these two average 1.00 goals.

Scoring Trends

Brighton VS Bologna
2.88 Goals Scored 1
0.38 Goals Conceded 1.13
88% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 38%
50% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Brighton

(Home)
25 Oct
Liverpool
2 : 0
Brighton
22 Oct
Jablonec
0 : 0
Brighton
18 Oct
Brighton
5 : 0
Crystal Palace
15 Oct
Brighton
4 : 0
FK Kauno Zalgiris
10 Oct
Sunderland
0 : 2
Brighton
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Bologna

(Away)
24 Oct
Cagliari
0 : 2
Bologna
17 Oct
Bologna
1 : 3
Inter
11 Oct
Lecce
1 : 2
Bologna
19 Sept
Bologna
1 : 1
Torino
13 Sept
Napoli
1 : 0
Bologna
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