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Brighton vs Bologna

World World

Club Friendly
Our Tip

Match Events

46'
Sub
Dovbyk A. In: Piccoli R.
Out: Dovbyk A.
59' Event
Hinshelwood J.
63'
Sub
Orsolini R. In: Rowe J.
Out: Orsolini R.

AI Match Summary

Brighton in this Club Friendly matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Brighton.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

62%
Brighton
30%
Draws
8%
Bologna
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Brighton

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

62% / High Confidence
  • Brighton average 1.6 goals a game right now, well clear of Bologna's 1.17.
  • Model gives Brighton a 62% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.2%
Brighton Clean Sheet 20%
Bologna Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Brighton Bologna
Matches Played 25 29
Wins 12 12
Draws 4 5
Losses 9 12
Goals Scored 1.6 1.17
Goals Conceded 1.12 1.45
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 15, 2026 Club Friendly
Brighton vs Bologna
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Brighton Compare

Top Goalscorer Hinshelwood J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.94

Bologna Compare

Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Brighton 76 / 100
Bologna 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Brighton Bologna

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Brighton Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Brighton scored in 72% of their last 25 outings.

Bologna has conceded goals in 72% of their last 29 outings.

Solid form: Brighton remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Bologna lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Brighton VS Bologna
2.38 Goals Scored 1.13
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.38
63% Over 1.5 50%
63% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Brighton

(Home)
05 Sept
Brighton
1 : 1
Leeds
30 Aug
Chelsea
4 : 3
Brighton
27 Aug
Brighton
4 : 0
Tromso
23 Aug
Brighton
4 : 0
Aston Villa
20 Aug
Tromso
0 : 0
Brighton
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Bologna

(Away)
06 Sept
Bologna
2 : 2
Sassuolo
31 Aug
Atalanta
1 : 0
Bologna
24 Aug
Bologna
0 : 1
Lazio
15 Aug
Brighton
1 : 0
Bologna
08 Aug
Bologna
1 : 4
Pisa
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